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  1. #1
    wilpuri's Avatar It Gets Worse.
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    Default Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    ‘Age Hasn’t Softened Me’
    Jean-Marie Le Pen, France’s confrontational far-right leader, is getting ready to rock France in the upcoming presidential elections the way he did back in 2002. Will he succeed?

    Web Exclusive
    By Tracy McNicoll
    Newsweek
    Updated: 6:05 p.m. ET Feb. 16, 2007

    Feb. 16, 2007 - Can he do it again? Jean-Marie Le Pen, France's combative far-right leader, caught mainstream politicians off-guard in the presidential elections of 2002 with an upset defeat of a sitting Socialist prime minister, which earned him a spot in the runoff against President Jacques Chirac. The surprisingly high level of popular support sent a soul-searching nation into the streets and out to the polls to keep him out of France’s top job. In this year’s elections, which start April 22, Le Pen, 78, has lost the element of surprise. Mainstream candidates won’t underestimate him this time—they’re already angling to keep Le Pen and his National Front party at bay. But the veteran provocateur seems to be calm. He spoke with NEWSWEEK’s Tracy McNicoll by phone from the European Parliament in Strasbourg. Excerpts:

    NEWSWEEK: After your first-round upset in 2002, are your opponents adapting to your candidacy this time?
    Jean-Marie Le Pen: Sure. Mostly because my warnings proved correct in most cases. The things that had people demonizing me before now have people considering me, saying, “Actually, he wasn’t wrong. He was seeing things the way they are.” It’s a phenomenon political analysts have called the “Le Pen-ization of mentalities.” I didn’t name it. It’s about my competitors’ analyses being close to mine. And their proposals are often, even bluntly, borrowed from my program.

    And your competitors’ methods? [Socialist candidate] Ségolène Royal’s “participative democracy” and “citizen meetings” for example—is that a reaction to your 2002 success?
    It isn’t too effective. Madame Ségolène Royal is gathering her friends together. And it’s always nice to get together with friends. But, to be president, you need a little more than your friends. So, these meetings where the choir comes to applaud you don’t seem to me the key to success.

    [Interior Minister] Nicolas Sarkozy’s adversaries accuse him of fishing for your voters.
    He tries—that’s the name of the game. But his method benefits me more than it hurts me. You can see it in polls, when Sarkozy says things close to mine, people say, “Oh, Sarkozy’s great! He’s nice!” But that doesn’t mean they’ll vote for him. At least not in the first round.

    Some are saying you have become more moderate with time, perhaps with age?
    No, I haven’t softened too much, don’t worry. Age hasn’t softened me too much.

    But your style has changed.

    Sure, one adapts to the adversary, to the environment. We’re in battle—is the battlefield not master of the tactical soul? Surely a sailor fighting on land adopts the tactics of an infantryman. And an infantryman who finds himself on a ship becomes a sailor. It’s pretty instinctive for me. I don’t feel like I’ve changed. But if I have, maybe it’s because the media and my adversaries don’t have the same hostile, bellicose attitude they used to have. So since I feel less threatened or attacked, I’m easier to talk to.

    You used to express yourself differently. What happened to that old Le Pen? Didn’t you used to say things like that the Arab-Islamic world was colonizing France?
    That it was a risk, yes. I provide the example of Kosovo. Kosovo was Serb, and Albanian immigration progressively invaded it and Kosovo is no longer Serb; now it wants to be Albanian and independent. The same goes for Sri Lanka. And for everywhere because there are these imperative rules. It’s also a little like what happened in the United States, is it not?

    In your words, not mine.
    At its birth. Immigration conquered, do you see? It’s true.

    Sure, it’s a country of immigrants.
    European immigration conquered the peoples occupying that land, did it not?

    Yes.
    Yes, there. Right. I won’t say more. There are these historically notorious phenomena. So we can’t pretend we don’t notice the threat weighing on us. When 10 million foreigners enter a country like ours in 30 years, mostly from the Third World—and when the global population rose from 1 to 7 billion in 100 years and continues to grow—I worry about finding myself in a country without defenses or borders, subject to a crazy and criminal immigration policy. But I’ve always said it wasn’t the immigrants’ fault and that we shouldn’t be angry with them but exclusively with the French politicians, right and left, who betrayed their mission to defend the French nation and people.

    A recent survey found 48 percent of French people would find it acceptable to have National Front ministers in government within the next few years.
    Why not? You know, we have millions of voters and no deputies. That’s shocking for everyone.

    Does it prove that 2002 legitimized you in French public opinion?

    But I was first elected as a parliamentarian 51 years ago. So, it seems to me difficult to quarrel with my democratic legitimacy since I have spent over 30 years as a parliamentarian.

    But your 2002 upset changed public opinion on your National Front party?
    Well, yes, the National Front doesn’t get TV, radio or newspaper coverage. So its image depends on its adversaries, since it can’t create it itself. Except a little bit during election campaigns, when people can see it directly.

    Does UDF leader François Bayrou worry you? Some peg him for “third man” this time around.
    But I will either be first or second. So it doesn’t bother me if Bayrou is third.

    Tough to talk about a “third man” anyway when there’s a woman this time....
    Absolutely! Me, I have nothing against women. I am pretty much a gynophile. [Laughs.]

    If you make the May 6 runoff, will you be facing Royal or Sarkozy?
    Who knows? I’ll take the one the Good Lord gives me.

    Do you have a preference?
    No, my word, no. I’ll take either one on, perhaps with different tactics. But they represent the same forces, don’t they? It’s the system—that has gone on 30 years, alternating or cohabiting—that tolerates one as well as the other. For me, there is no difference. Whether it be Madame Royal or Monsieur Sarkozy. I will fight them with the same ardor and loyalty.

    You voted “no” in the 2005 referendum on the European Constitution.
    That must be an advantage; 55 percent of French people voted no when Bayrou, Royal and Sarkozy supported the yes side. They represented 92 percent of the political class and they were crushed.

    Will that reflex kick back in? It’s not showing up in polls today.
    Polls go up and down. One day we’re at the peak, the next day we’re lower down. I was, generally speaking, under 10 percent—at 8 or 6 percent—a few days before I was in the runoff [in 2002]. So I don’t worry much.

    What about the pronouncement you made several years ago, that Nazi gas chambers were “a detail of WWII history”?
    These are subjects that I don’t discuss. They are too costly for us.

    How?
    They are subjects I forbid myself to discuss. One day, I happened to discuss it and it cost me 150 million old francs [in fines, or €183,000—about $240,000]. I consider it off-limits to me.

    Are there other subjects like that?

    They are multiplying. The space for liberty is diminishing in a country that doesn’t have the Second Amendment. So we must make a virtue of necessity.
    An interesting interview with an interesting man, I should say. Do any of the French members of other members well aware of French politics have any guesses as to his success in the coming elections?
    The common culture of a tribe is a sign of its inner cohesion. But tribes are vanishing from the modern world, as are all forms of traditional society. Customs, practices, festivals, rituals and beliefs have acquired a flut and half-hearted quality which reflects our nomadic and rootless existence, predicated as we are on the global air-waves.

    ROGER SCRUTON, Modern Culture

  2. #2
    TheKwas's Avatar Civitate
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    I think he will fail utterly, and won't be the second man. 2002 was exceptionary because the incumbant prime minister largely plumented in popularity and the rest of the support was scattered amoung 15+ members. He got pushed into the last runoff with only 15% of the vote and was soundly defeated by Chirac in the vote by 80+%, which is--if my french comrades tell me the truth--the biggest victory in the history of modern France.

    I say good for France that he is left isolated. Much better than his plan to isolate AIDS victims...
    1) The creation of the world is the most marvelous achievement imaginable.
    2) The merit of an achievement is the product of (a) its intrinsic quality, and (b) the ability of its creator.
    3) The greater the disability (or handicap) of the creator, the more impressive the achievement.
    4) The most formidable handicap for a creator would be non-existence.
    5) Therefore if we suppose that the universe is the product of an existent creator we can conceive a greater being — namely, one who created everything while not existing.
    6) Therefore, God does not exist.


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  3. #3
    Erik's Avatar Dux Limitis
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    He will never win because the majority of French would always vote against him no mater how bad they think the rest of the candidates are.

    But he does make one good point:
    [Interior Minister] Nicolas Sarkozy’s adversaries accuse him of fishing for your voters.
    He tries—that’s the name of the game. But his method benefits me more than it hurts me. You can see it in polls, when Sarkozy says things close to mine, people say, “Oh, Sarkozy’s great! He’s nice!” But that doesn’t mean they’ll vote for him. At least not in the first round.
    Here I think he is absolutely right.
    He might not have any direct influence, but other parties do take over some of his ideas.
    The same thing is happening in my country: whenever the far-right wins the rest of the parties leap over to cover their ground.
    This indirect influence should not be underestimated.

    The article contains one big error:
    How?
    They are subjects I forbid myself to discuss. One day, I happened to discuss it and it cost me 150 million old francs [in fines, or €183,000—about $240,000]. I consider it off-limits to me.
    €1 = 6.56 FF, so "150 million old francs" = €22.7 million, not €183,000.



  4. #4
    Sidus Preclarum's Avatar Honnête Homme.
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Erik View Post
    €1 = 6.56 FF, so "150 million old francs" = €22.7 million, not €183,000.
    actually, 120 million old francs = 1.2 million francs = €183 000(Le Pen is still counting money in "ancien francs". Shows the old dinosaur he is, mentally-wise, since the "nouveau franc" was introduced in 1960 ! But even discounting that fact, you somehow managed to flunk your division by 6.56 :hmmm: )

    Does UDF leader François Bayrou worry you? Some peg him for “third man” this time around.
    But I will either be first or second. So it doesn’t bother me if Bayrou is third.
    Ever the old braggart, eh?
    nevermind he has difficulties in finding the 500 signatures needed to be a candidate. H might bluff on that, but it's not impossible we'll see the situation of 1981 again, an election without Le Pen...
    Furthermore, there has been a surge in inscriptions on the electoral lists, which would hopefully indicate a lower abstention rate.
    besides, the guy is 79 yo, older than Mitterand at the end of his second mandate. And we all know in what physical shape Mitterand was at that time.
    I'm not certain he *wants* to be elected anyway. I mean, 5 years ago, when he learnt he was in the second round, before appearing bragging before the cameras, they caught him with an absolute look of panic for a few minutes. Le Pen is an eternal contender. He's fighting for power, but I feel he wishes he doesn't want to hold the responsability of really wielding it. Imho, he leaves this responsability,n and the risk of failure, to his daughter, so that his own legend can go untarnished...

    funny, recent polls (http://www.election-politique.com/pres2007.php#sondages) show Sarkozy coming ahead of Royale, Bayrou then Le Pen, with resp 33 26 15 10%, but shows that if Bayrou could reach the 2nd turn he'd beat Royale or Sarkozy... But, since he's not likely to finish second, the safest bet atm is Sarkozy. I personally pray that it changes, since imho Sarkozy is a man relying mostly on effets de manches, i.e. "solutions" that are great publicity stunts but which solve nothing... But the prospect of voting Royale doesn't enchant me either... I'm even tempted to cast a ballot for Bayrou...

    It will be an interesting year in any case...
    Last edited by Sidus Preclarum; February 22, 2007 at 07:04 PM.

  5. #5
    Erik's Avatar Dux Limitis
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Sidus Preclarum View Post
    actually, 120 million old francs = 1.2 million francs = €183 000(Le Pen is still counting money in "ancien francs". Shows the old dinosaur he is, mentally-wise, since the "nouveau franc" was introduced in 1960
    LOL, I didn't even realize that there was an "old franc".
    But now that you mentioned it, I did hear about it when they introduced the euro.

    I though they meant "old" as in "pre-euro".
    We talk about our "good old guilder" in that way.

    ! But even discounting that fact, you somehow managed to flunk your division by 6.56 :hmmm: )
    Uh...yes 150/6.56 = 22.9
    I must have miss-typed that on my calculator.

    But where did you get that 120million figure? or did you mean 150old=1.2new?

    Quote Originally Posted by Sidus Preclarum View Post
    funny, recent polls (http://www.election-politique.com/pres2007.php#sondages) show Sarkozy coming ahead of Royale, Bayrou then Le Pen, with resp 33 26 15 10%, but shows that if Bayrou could reach the 2nd turn he'd beat Royale or Sarkozy... But, since he's not likely to finish second, the safest bet atm is Sarkozy. I personnaly pray that it changes, since imho Sarkozy is a man relying mostly on efets de manches, i.e. "solutions" that are great publicity stuns but which solve nothing... But the prospect of voting Royale doesn't enchant me either... I'm even tempted to cast a ballot for Bayrou...
    I'm surprised those polls show Royale won't beat Sarkozy in the 2nd round.
    I thought she, being more of a centrist than Sarkozy, had the broadest voter base.
    Last edited by Erik; February 22, 2007 at 06:52 PM.



  6. #6
    Sidus Preclarum's Avatar Honnête Homme.
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Erik View Post
    But where did you get that 120million figure? or did you mean 150old=1.2new?
    mis-read.
    150 m anciens francs = 1.5m francs = €228K. Btw, afaik it wasn't anything about what he said. It was merely a fine for cheating the fiscal administration...
    old franc to new franc was a 100 to 1 conversion.

    I'm surprised those polls show Royale won't beat Sarkozy in the 2nd round.
    I thought she, being more of a centrist than Sarkozy, had the broadest voter base.
    She has the double disadvantage of being a woman ( in a country where gender-equality in politics is lagging behind) and of recently making constant goofs (Sarkozy does too, and more dangerously so too, since he is currently at a position of political power, but the main TV medias are a bit partial to him, so that you can sometimes get the impression that what in Royale's mouth would be proof of utter incompetence, would be gospel in Sarkozy's ...I'm eggagerating a bit, but you get the general impression...) In short, she doesn't look"serious" enough. And as for her voting base, some of her ideas are viewed either a bit too much "on the right" or demagogical by some, who, ironically, are consequently tempted to vote for Bayrou
    Last edited by Sidus Preclarum; February 22, 2007 at 07:09 PM.

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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Sidus Preclarum View Post
    She has the double disadvantage of being a woman ( in a country where gender-equality in politics is lagging behind)
    Is it?
    I think France is in front when it comes to gender-equality in other fields (like the military, for example, but also engineering and other "man jobs").

    and of recently making constant goofs
    Yes, that's probably it.
    There is still time to recover, though.

    And as for her voting base, some of her ideas are viewed either a bit too much "on the right" or demagogical by some, who, ironically, are consequently tempted to vote for Bayrou
    But surely Sarkozy is much more demagogical, and more to the right.
    So I would think anyone to her left would vote for her anyways (in a Royal vs Sarkozy 2nd round, I mean)



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    Freddie's Avatar The Voice of Reason
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Looking at the political landscape in France puts Britain’s problems into prospective. On one hand you can vote for far right nut job who has had multiple accusations of racism touted against him or on the other hand you can vote for a corrupted, broken down socialist dinosaur person who has had lead France’s economy down the river.
    Last edited by Freddie; February 23, 2007 at 05:23 AM.

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    Sidus Preclarum's Avatar Honnête Homme.
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Freddie View Post
    or on the other hand you can vote for a corrupted, broken down socialist dinosaur who had lead France’s economy down the river.
    and that would be ... ? :hmmm:

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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Sidus Preclarum View Post
    and that would be ... ? :hmmm:
    Yes your right I had him mixed up with François Mitterrand.

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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Freddie View Post
    Looking at the political landscape in France puts Britain’s problems into prospective. On one hand you can vote for far right nut job who has had multiple accusations of racism touted against him or on the other hand you can vote for a corrupted, broken down socialist dinosaur person who has had lead France’s economy down the river.
    There are four serious candidates (Le Pen, Sarkozy, Royale and Bayrou), not just the two.
    And that's just for president, the real power lies with parliament.



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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Erik View Post
    There are four serious candidates (Le Pen, Sarkozy, Royale and Bayrou), not just the two.
    And that's just for president, the real power lies with parliament.
    Wow that's impressive, unlike the usual two horse races you get other countries.

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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Freddie View Post
    Wow that's impressive, unlike the usual two horse races you get other countries.
    I think the two horse race is actually the exception.
    In a proportional representation system (which most democracies have) you can easily have 3, 4, or even more major parties.



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    wilpuri's Avatar It Gets Worse.
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Erik View Post
    I think the two horse race is actually the exception.
    In a proportional representation system (which most democracies have) you can easily have 3, 4, or even more major parties.
    But in presidential elections there are usually two main candidates, at least in Finland. One for the socialists, one for the bourgeoise.
    The common culture of a tribe is a sign of its inner cohesion. But tribes are vanishing from the modern world, as are all forms of traditional society. Customs, practices, festivals, rituals and beliefs have acquired a flut and half-hearted quality which reflects our nomadic and rootless existence, predicated as we are on the global air-waves.

    ROGER SCRUTON, Modern Culture

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    Tom Paine's Avatar Mr Common Sense
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Quote Originally Posted by Erik View Post
    I think the two horse race is actually the exception.
    In a proportional representation system (which most democracies have) you can easily have 3, 4, or even more major parties.
    But a Presidential race is never PR... because it is neccessarily majoritarian or first past the post, it being one post not multiple.

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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    thx to my occupation I have opportunity to travel across EU and speak with various people. from what I've learned those who think that Le Pen is 100% loser in next election would be surprised. Majority of French I've spoken to stand that too many bad things happened last times and they didn't mention Le Pen as candidate of theirs but considering Royale as a menace to France condition so I guess they pick up Sarkozy.

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    Sidus Preclarum's Avatar Honnête Homme.
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Btw, those who as of today have the "500 signatures" are : Sarkozy, Bayrou, Royale and... Arlette Laguiller (the ever present Trostkist candidate). Le Pen is like 40 short, but it wouldn't be the first time he got his pass just before the date...
    Source

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    Tom Paine's Avatar Mr Common Sense
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    Default Re: Newsweek interviews Le Pen

    Its majoritarian; meaning, in the end, 2 major contestants in the final round, the top two in the first round in fact. Simple as that and takes far more time, too...

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