These numbers challenge a core assumption shared by both major party establishments: the idea that nonwhite, immigrant voters are predestined to vote Democratic. For Democrats, this assumption manifests in revealingly eager rhetoric about the inevitability of progressivism’s political triumph in a diversifying country. Meanwhile, for Republicans, the fear that “demographics are destiny” — that a less-white America is necessarily a more left-wing one — often drives the increased propensity for immigration restrictionism.
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While Joe Biden is still likely to carry the Hispanic vote in November, these changing attitudes suggest an opportunity — not a setback — for future Republican efforts. One of the great ironies of contemporary American politics is that white Democrats now sit to the left of minorities on virtually every issue, including many aspects of political correctness, identity politics, and religion. Both Hispanics and blacks are devoutly Christian, report consistently high church attendance rates, and poll socially conservative on a variety of cultural concerns. It’s unlikely that African-American loyalty to the Democratic Party will waver significantly in the coming years, but the Hispanic vote remains an open question. In fact, the latter demographic “has been trending more favorably towards Republicans going back to the early 1970s, since at least Richard Nixon,” Chavez says.
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But insofar as recent arrivals do skew Democratic, Republicans should consider the possibility that their party’s anti-immigrant wing is alienating a large swathe of voters in an otherwise sympathetic demographic.
For many conservative Latinos, the Republican Party’s attitude on this issue can be frustrating. “Today, millions of immigrants who are otherwise conservative voters are staying home or voting for the Democrats for the single reason that if one party supports deporting their DACA sibling or cousin, they will never vote for them,” says Daniel Di Martino, a 21-year-old Venezuelan refugee who spoke at the 2020 Conservative Political Action Conference about his experiences with socialism in his home country. “The same is true with legal immigration: Those who naturalized and came here legally are much less likely to support a candidate who is attacking the visa they used to become American citizens.”
Alternatively, Martino says: “A GOP that embraces immigration, like America has historically, will attract millions of new voters and win elections where now we can’t even imagine the party competing.”
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Even with the president’s aggressive stance on immigration issues, Hispanics appear to be increasingly comfortable with the Republican Party — a fact that, in and of itself, seems to contradict one of the White House’s primary justifications for its restrictionist policies. One can only imagine how this trend could be accelerated were the Right to return to its traditional roots on the issue. Republicans should see the Hispanic community as an ally, not a threat: “Latinos are Republicans,” Reagan famously liked to say. “They just don’t know it yet.”
Re: USA elections 2020
Originally Posted by Gaidin
