Thread: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

  1. #2961

    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Quote Originally Posted by Carmen Sylva View Post
    1. We will have the same drama in 4 years again (EU standards or UK standards?). Very probably as NI has made NO progess in peace process and no working coalition government since 2017.

    The EU of 27 needs a final solution, not a temporary one.
    "Final solutions" are a fantasy. How many more times does this point have to be made? International relations are fluid entities which are always open to change. They do not exist on the basis of immovable articles.

    2. Irish people must tolerate, that their economical fate after 800 years of foreign rule is again solely in the hand of the british loyalists.
    No it isn't. What's being discussed here is the economic relationship between N. Ire. and the Republic, not "the economic fate" of the entire island.

    3. No trust, that NI not will become a open gate for non standard EU goods without EU border control.
    Regulatory alignment is written into the agreement. Since Northern Ireland already adheres to EU standards (as does the rest of the United Kingdom) there is no particular reason to suspect that it will become an "open gate for non standard EU goods".

    You can simply not trust a british conservative government to not misuse EU treaties.

    Last example:

    The European Commission has indirectly confirmed the UK made illegal copies of classified personal information from a database reserved for members of the passport-free Schengen travel zone.

    https://euobserver.com/justice/145530

    Or they try to blackmail EU to gain financial advantages, as EU shall not control at the border.

    "We need more money or the customs agency in NI can't work properly..."
    Not an argument. If the European Union doesn't "trust" the British to adhere to international agreements then it shouldn't even be negotiating with them at all.

    4. Boris deal are 100 % british positions, 0 % EU positions. Thats no treaty, thats a dictation.
    What drivel.

    Edit:

    Translation from an article from "Spiegel" about Boris "deal:

    One thing is, how do you raise tariffs without having turnpikes between Ireland and Northern Ireland? The British claim that their proposal makes controls at the border or even near them superfluous. Instead, goods should be declared before crossing the border and then prosecuted by either Irish or British authorities. The few physical examinations that would still be necessary are to take place on the dealers' premises. But that, says an EU expert, would not only mean a "tremendous bureaucratic effort", because you would have to create completely new structures. It would also open wide possibilities of abuse.
    Setting up checking areas behind the border wouldn't be a "tremendous bureaucratic effort" nor would it "open wide possibilities of abuse". I don't know if you know this, but European Union member states do in fact trade with third parties already. I am yet to hear of anyone complaining about the "bureaucratic" impossibilities of importing from places like the US or New Zealand, for instance.

    In addition, there would be another problem: how do you keep goods that come from outside the UK and do not comply with EU standards - such as chlorine chickens from the USA - from Northern Ireland in the future? From there, if the British plan were to be implemented, they would be able to enter the Republic of Ireland and the rest of the EU unhindered. London suggests that British authorities inspect goods on British soil, on the basis of EU law, although the UK is no longer bound by it. "We certainly will not outsource sensitive controls to the British or anyone else," says an EU diplomat.
    The point of the checks behind the border are designed to ensure that products entering the European Union from the United Kingdom are of the correct standard. Assuming that the United Kingdom and the European Union reach a free trade agreement during the transition period, the produce that the UK exports to the European Union will still adhere to European Union standards. The point is that produce for domestic consumption or export to non-EU countries would not be subject to EU regulations.

    But there is an even bigger problem. The British Government wants to put the entire plan under a reservation: the consent of the Northern Irish. Their parliament and the government should approve the agreements - not once but over and over again. A first vote should be made after the end of the two-year transitional phase after Brexit, followed by another every four years.
    Northern Ireland veto could bring back hard frontier

    It would de facto be the time limit for the Irish backstop that the British have always called for and the EU has always categorically rejected. For if the consent of the Northern Irishmen fails to materialize, the entire agreement would become obsolete after one year. Then it could come what the EU and Ireland want to prevent at any cost: a new hard border with Northern Ireland.

    https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausla...a-1289829.html
    It isn't up to the European Union to dictate to a non-member state what it's trading practices or standards will be. It is right and proper for the Northern Irish to have the final say on how how they choose to do business with the Republic. The fact that the PM wants to secure, in writing, the sovereignty of the people of Northern Ireland by ensuring that they aren't perpetually trapped into the arrangements of the withdrawal agreement is, once again, completely acceptable. The fact of the matter is that the DUP would virtually never agree to anything which necessitated a hard border: all they want is to ensure that the they aren't politically incapable of exiting or updating the agreement. They have a right not to be made into an economic satellite of the European Union.
    Last edited by Cope; October 02, 2019 at 08:46 PM.



  2. #2962
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Just a bit of levity in the run up to Halloween and BJ's no deal divorce:

  3. #2963
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Quote Originally Posted by ep1c_fail View Post
    What drivel.
    Actually look like Bojo´s plan are taking hits again...not good start for negotiations.

    EU says UK plan to finalise customs rules for Northern Ireland during transition unacceptable - These are from Daniel Ferrie, a spokesman for the European commission. He is quoting Natasha Bertaud, the commission’s deputy chief spokesperson.
    Under Boris Johnson’s plan the details for new customs rules in Northern Ireland would be thrashed out during the transition. The commission is saying that is unacceptable, because a “legally operational solution” would have to be in the withdrawal agreement.
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  4. #2964
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    So EU Parliament rejected Boris´s plan.
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ely-acceptable

    The European parliament has told Boris Johnson that his proposals for the Irish border do not “even remotely” amount to an acceptable deal for the EU, in comments echoed by Ireland’s prime minister.

    The committee of MEPs representing the parliament’s views on Brexit said the prime minister’s proposals could not form the basis for an agreement, describing them as a “last-minute” effort. The European parliament will have a veto on any withdrawal agreement.
    So....Looks like UK is now heading for "no deal" unless Boris asks for extension as the law compels him. I don´t believe he will manage any miracle in the next 10 days.

    Varadkar highlighted a discrepancy between Johnson’s words and the legal text tabled by the UK government.

    “I am reassured by what Prime Minister Johnson said today: that he is not proposing that there should be any new physical infrastructure on the island of Ireland linked to customs or customs checks,” Varadkar said.

    “But that is actually in contradiction to the papers presented by the UK government yesterday. So I think working with the EU taskforce in part, [Michel] Barnier’s taskforce, and also talking with the UK government we will have to tease out the detail of what those proposals mean.”
    the rest of article is full of other problems as well.
    Last edited by Daruwind; October 03, 2019 at 10:20 AM.
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  5. #2965
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Quote Originally Posted by Carmen Sylva View Post
    His deal is inacceptable.
    Guy Verhofstadt
    It's mainly repackaging the bad ideas that have already been floated in the past
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  6. #2966
    caratacus's Avatar Primicerius
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    For me, EU officials in these negotiations, are constantly portraying an unsavoury image of a reoccurrence of "The Troubles" as if there is balaclava man stood behind them holding a weapon. At best it is massively irresponsible, and at worst threatening.

    Constantly over and over again we have people holding up the Good Friday Agreement in 1998, as if it is some great treaty that was a solution to Northern Ireland's problems, when it was anything but. Instead it was a fudge of a settlement, with little incentive from the Irish, the EU or the British government to progress things further. Communities in NI are still divided, sectarianism is still present and actively violent, whilst local democracy in the province has reached a complete impasse

    The lack of a border has served to create obscurity of geography not of indentity. The fact remains that Northern Ireland is part of the UK and when the UK leaves the EU , there must be a border. Perhaps then people in Northern Ireland will finally face reality of the situation, and seek a permanent solution, than live in this limbo land of being caught between Eire and the UK that the EU would have them remain within. If the people of Northern Ireland don’t want a border, then they must accept Irish unity, there cannot be a half in half out touted as a permanent solution. It maybe compatible to a European super state without borders, it isn’t for nation state with local democracy at its heart.

    All this talk of avoiding any form of a barrier along the NI border is complete rubbish when there is so much division in people's minds. Having any form of customs checks will not break those down but they certainly won’t make them any worse then they already are.

    Quote Originally Posted by Ludicus View Post
    Guy Verhofstadt
    "It's mainly repackaging the bad ideas that have already been floated in the past"
    It is quite obvious what this guy's agenda is.
    Remainer rant: Lib Dems' glee as Guy Verhofstadt proclaims end of nation states
    GUY VERHOFSTADT’s speech at the Liberal Democrat party conference, where he appeared to call for the formation of a united Europe, was met with applause from the audience.
    https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...uropean-Empire

    Former Belgian Prime Minister Mr Verhofstadt is MEP for Dutch-speaking-Belgium and the leader of the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe in the European Parliament. He was speaking at the Liberal Democrat’s autumn conference in Bournemouth. Mr Verhofstadt said: “We cannot continue to be friends with a Europe that is always acting too little and too late.

    “In the world order of tomorrow, the world order of tomorrow is not a world order based on nation states or countries, it’s a world order that is based on Empires, China is not a nation, it’s a civilisation.
    I trust Mr Verhofstadt was pleased to see China's display of civilisation in Beijing this week, to mark 70 years of Communist party rule.
    Last edited by caratacus; October 03, 2019 at 02:17 PM.

  7. #2967

    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Quote Originally Posted by caratacus View Post
    For me, EU officials in these negotiations, are constantly portraying an unsavoury image of a reoccurrence of "The Troubles" as if there is balaclava man stood behind them holding a weapon. At best it is massively irresponsible, and at worst threatening.

    Constantly over and over again we have people holding up the Good Friday Agreement in 1998, as if it is some great treaty that was a solution to Northern Ireland's problems, when it was anything but. Instead it was a fudge of a settlement, with little incentive from the Irish, the EU or the British government to progress things further. Communities in NI are still divided, sectarianism is still present and actively violent, whilst local democracy in the province has reached a complete impasse

    The lack of a border has served to create obscurity of geography not of indentity. The fact remains that Northern Ireland is part of the UK and when the UK leaves the EU , there must be a border. Perhaps then people in Northern Ireland will finally face reality of the situation, and seek a permanent solution, than live in this limbo land of being caught between Eire and the UK that the EU would have them remain within. If the people of Northern Ireland don’t want a border, then they must accept Irish unity, there cannot be a half in half out touted as a permanent solution. It maybe compatible to a European super state without borders, it isn’t for nation state with local democracy at its heart.

    All this talk of avoiding any form of a barrier along the NI border is complete rubbish when there is so much division in people's minds. Having any form of customs checks will not break those down but they certainly won’t make them any worse then they already are.


    It is quite obvious what this guy's agenda is.
    I trust Mr Verhofstadt was pleased to see China's display of civilisation in Beijing this week, to mark 70 years of Communist party rule.
    The Irish are not responsible for this mess. Cameron should have considered this issue before his daft decision to hand his party's arse to Farage.
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  8. #2968
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Just read news that "in submissions to a Scottish court Boris Johnson says he will send a #Brexit extension letter to Brussels if there is no deal by 19 October"
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics...nson-live-news

    Which is quite different to what he was telling yesterday....SO either he was lying with whole "do or die", lying to Parliament oooor he is now lying to Scottish Court? Looks like he is May 2.0 all over and clown on the top..
    Last edited by Daruwind; October 04, 2019 at 08:02 AM.
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  9. #2969

    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Quote Originally Posted by Daruwind View Post
    Just read news that "in submissions to a Scottish court Boris Johnson says he will send a #Brexit extension letter to Brussels if there is no deal by 19 October"
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics...nson-live-news

    Which is quite different to what he was telling yesterday....SO either he was lying with whole "do or die", lying to Parliament oooor he is now lying to Scottish Court? Looks like he is May 2.0 all over and clown on the top..
    Given his earlier promise, I guess we'll find him here soon..........................

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  10. #2970

    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    What grounds does the UK have for asking for an extension exactly?

    Parliment refused the deal offered by the EU.

    The EU refused the new deal offered by the British government.

    Parliment is too divided to pass anything in regards to brexit so what would be the point of an extension under the EU' stated terms anyway?

  11. #2971
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Firstly get extension,so UK has time for new election? And then we will see what will happen?
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  12. #2972
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Anyway my prediction is simple, the drama is not yet done and we will enjoy a lot longer time with Brexit. So one of results of such development is slow gradual rise of people thinking the brexit ref was wrong


    by data gov
    https://www.datawrapper.de/_/pPfXj/

    Plus looks like current mess is as well shifting mood for second referendum possibly..
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  13. #2973

    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    That was the remain camp's plan the whole time. Drag the whole thing out till the British people where sick of it and the mess.

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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Comparisons between Brexit and those events at the time of the English civil war seem to be good subjects for those writing a dissertation on political history.

    Now we have attempts to control the direction of a British government by Scottish courts, much like the Scottish Covenanters who tried to control the British monarch and his parliament to implement their Solemn League and Covenant. It didn't end well with them, but I feel this time it will be the union that will suffer. Which is probably the intention given Joanna Cherry is one of the primary protagonists.
    Brexit: Can a Scottish court order Boris Johnson to be imprisoned?
    https://www.scotsman.com/news/politi...oned-1-5015689
    If you thought the Court of Session had been totally upstaged by Lady Hale and her spider brooch last week - yes just last week - then Scotland's Lords Commissioners have some beers they'd like you to hold.

    PM 'can't be trusted' on Brexit delay, Court of Session told

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-49924755
    The UK government "can't be trusted" to comply with the law aimed at avoiding a no-deal Brexit, Scotland's highest civil court has been told.
    The Court of Session is being asked to spell out what sanctions would apply if ministers fail to comply with the so-called Benn Act.
    Last edited by caratacus; October 05, 2019 at 06:50 AM.

  15. #2975
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Quote Originally Posted by caratacus View Post
    It is quite obvious what this guy's agenda is
    There is only one "agenda": the border integrity of the Schengen zone. It's quite clear 'We cannot change what we are': Michel Barnier

    I promised myself from the start,that I would not allow passion or emotion into my approach to Brexit. I work on facts, on figures. On what is legal and operable. My obligation is to defend, calmly and firmly, the interests of the European Union, of its citizens, its companies, its regions … And in leaving, the UK cannot ask us to change what we are.
    From the news,
    Revealed: the EU's point-by-point rejection of Johnson's Brexit plan
    An EU commission spokeswoman said the EU27 remained of the opinion that the UK had failed to offer an alternative to the Irish backstop, which would avoid a hard border by keeping Northern Ireland in the single market and the EU’s customs territory.
    She said: “We all agree that we need a workable solution now and not something based on untried and revocable arrangements that would be left to negotiation during the transition period.
    “The UK’s proposals do not meet at present the objectives of the protocol on Northern Ireland/Ireland and this is the shared view of the EU parliament but also all member states.”
    In fact, there is already a deal: Brexit withdrawal agreement - Wikipedia
    ----
    That being said,the brexit troublemaker Michael Gove has a clear agenda:the destruction of the EU ( see previous post, in his own words)
    Btw, Michael Gove's father denies his company was destroyed by EU policies
    -----
    Michael Gove, 2019: Brexit: Gove refuses to rule out ignoring any law passed to stop no deal

    Michael Gove, 2016. Exposing the hypocrisy,



    Last edited by Ludicus; October 07, 2019 at 04:51 PM.
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  16. #2976
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    Problem is, the middle ground was May deal. But as UK politics painted it as really bad for UK..they cornered themselves. As chance of deal rises in Brussel, it falls in London and vice versa.

    But interesting development as of lately. Looks like UK might persuade Hungary to reject extention thus sending UK to no-deal option.

    Still Brussels comments are that there will be no last minute negotiation on summit (17th) and that Boris´s plan is failure. At the same time UK goverment is waiting for EU to engage Uk´s plan? clearly blaming game started. But what is puzzling me, rumors that no-deal preparation are not speeding up or something. Are Bojo+Cumming living in alternate dimension where they really expect last minute deal/victory?
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    There is only one "agenda": the border integrity of the Schengen zone. It's quite clear 'We cannot change what we are': Michel Barnier
    The border integrity of the UK is important too.
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  18. #2978
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    For those who missed it: How Number 10 view the state of the negotiations

    Personally I do not believe this is an 'insider view' but is in itself part of the propaganda war they're trying to wage over there. There are basically 3 options. Either they themselves are idiots, or they think the British people are, or both. Take your pick.
    "Lay these words to heart, Lucilius, that you may scorn the pleasure which comes from the applause of the majority. Many men praise you; but have you any reason for being pleased with yourself, if you are a person whom the many can understand?" - Lucius Annaeus Seneca -

  19. #2979
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    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    EDIT: props to Muzier, I left in middle of writing so he beated me

    Via Guardian I got to read No.10 point of view of current situation and it is nice reading https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/1...-negotiations/

    We will make clear privately and publicly that countries which oppose delay will go the front of the queue for future cooperation — cooperation on things both within and outside EU competences. Those who support delay will go to the bottom of the queue. [This source also made clear that defence and security cooperation will inevitably be affected if the EU tries to keep Britain in against the will of its government] Supporting delay will be seen by this government as hostile interference in domestic politics, and over half of the public will agree with us.
    And I was just Wow. Just imagining German Leopard Tank crew taking selfies on Picadelli Square () as part of EU police force to keep order in UK ...like Scotland fighting independence in William Wallace style (Freeeeeedom!!!! ) Brexiteers (sounds almost like musketeers ) brawling with remainers and Queen taking Tea all over this (hope nobody gets mad, had no idea to put there). Where Hitler and Napoleon failed....Bojo might be successful! From comments looks like Cumming himself wrote it? Maybe...
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  20. #2980

    Default Re: Brexit - Time to scrap it and start again?

    IFS This is just a central estimate based on a “smooth and orderly” departure from the EU with a Brexit deal. Leaving without a deal – even with minimal disruption – would push up borrowing to about £100 billion, or 4 per cent of national income. Debt would climb to almost 90 per cent of national income for the first time since the mid-1960s. Any support to the economy to weather a no-deal exit would push up the deficit still further, at least for a few years
    Can anyone explain why any Conservative government would allow this to happen?

    https://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/14429
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