
Originally Posted by
The_Fawn_Rescuer
To make Otto the HRE reflects an oversimplification of events, and doesn't take into account the political situation at the time. Otto's base of power was always in the lower Rhine, centered around Cologne. By 1210 he had been excommunicated by Innocent III, and by 1212 Frederick II was Emperor-elect with the support of the Pope, and had marched into Upper Germany, where he had been confirmed as King of the Romans and King of Germany twice by electors in that region. By 1212, Otto's chances of coming out on top were already looking rather grim. I think the most realistic scenario would be a sort of HRE civil war. Otto as leader of one of the northern duchies like Trier or Brabant, with an alliance of the northern Germans represented by Trier, Brabant, and Saxony, and friendly relations with the English and bad relations with France. In the South, Frederick II would lead the HRE-proper, while his wife Constance of Aragon was Queen and regent of Sicily from 1212-1220, so she should be ruler there, rather than him. Frederick was in Upper Germany, leading the way against Otto. HRE should be allied with Brandenburg (they were the main initiators of Frederick's election, due to being upset about Otto's failure to deal with Danish incursions), Bavaria, Austria, and of course Sicily - with friendly relations with France and bad relations with England. Some of the elector states (such as Bohemia, Thuringia, Lorraine and Burgundy) should be neutral, as potential allies that can be won over by either side.