I'm observing something pretty consistently in my games. It is that when a region gets taken over by a rebel faction for whatever reason no AI faction really ever seems to try to claim it. I have gone so far as to sack such settlements so that they have 0 defenses, and even than no one seems interested even remotely. Even if the original owning faction has plenty of military force nearby, they are all apparently engaged in receiving their time critical manicures. I mean, you can't do war properly if your soldiers have cuticles, right? That just wouldn't be civilized. The Western Romans retaking an undefended and historically integral region like Neapolis? Maybe not. 'Tis a silly place! Let's go search for... a cup, instead.