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  1. #1
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    Default Switzerland Issues Vote on Universal Basic Income

    here we come, Star Trek Society:
    By gathering over 100,000 signatures – which they delivered last Friday along with 8 million 5-cent coins representing the country’s population – activists have secured a vote in Switzerland on an audacious proposal: providing a basic monthly income of about $2,800 U.S. dollars to each adult in the country. (A date for the vote hasn’t yet been set.) Such basic income proposals, which have drawn increased attention since the 2008 financial crash, offer a night-and-day contrast to the current U.S. debate over what to cut and by how much.Salon called up John Schmitt, a senior economist at the progressive Center for Economic and Policy Research, to discuss the economics and politics of having the government send everyone in the country a monthly check.
    What is a universal basic income, and why are we hearing more about it now?
    The proposals that are floating around the world vary a lot. But the basic idea is, no matter what you do, if you’re a resident — or in some cases, a citizen — you get a certain amount of money each month. And it’s completely unconditional: If you’re rich you get it, if you’re poor you get. If you’re a good person you get it, if you’re a bad person you get it. And it does not depend on you doing anything other than making whatever effort is involved to collect the money. It’s been a topic of discussion for several decades. Why is it happening right now? I think it’s obvious that it’s a reaction to the high level of economic inequality that we’ve seen. Most European countries haven’t had big increases in inequality at the same scale that we [in the U.S.] have, [but] some of them have had much more than they’re used to.
    Some have argued that the mass anti-austerity protests and strikes in Europe have been relatively unsuccessful at changing policy. Do you think that’s so? Is that related to this movement?
    I think it’s very clearly the case that the political action that’s been taken so far has not been able to end austerity. I would say, certainly in the case of Greece, the political activism strengthened the hand of the government negotiators with respect to what the final agreement between various authorities and the Greeks would be, because the Greek government could point out the window and say, “You know, if we don’t get a better deal, there’s going to be more of what we’ve seen in the streets.”

    What strikes you about the contrast between the current U.S. budget shutdown and the conflicts over austerity in Europe since the crash?
    The debate is so different in the United States. We are basically in the midst of a government shutdown because one party wants to give people insurance, and change for the better the terms people have in negotiating with their insurance companies. We’ve shut down the government for something that is taken for granted [elsewhere]. There’s almost no political parties in Europe that would argue actively for dismantling their healthcare system. In fact one of the reasons why the far right has grown in many countries in Europe is precisely because social democrats have participated in cutbacks to the social welfare system, and the nationalist right has said things like, “The reason why the government is cutting back is the rise in immigrants, who are making it impossible to afford our social welfare system.”
    Here [in the U.S.], we have much higher levels of inequality, we have much less by the way of political leadership from the unions, because the unions are a lot smaller and less powerful, and we don’t have a strong social democratic tradition.
    The European debate on guaranteed income has been somewhat divisive on the left. Because on the one hand, it’s a very generous way to provide support for people who desperately need it. On the other hand, it threatens the existence of the existing social welfare systems there, because it’s very hard to finance both the full set and full range of social welfare institutions that exist already, and side by side to give people $2,800 a month, or even substantially less than that.
    You’ve written about left critique of basic income before. How concerned are you? How do you think that potential tension will play out?
    My fear is that it’s possible for a coalition of completely well-intentioned and idealistic — with no negative connotation to that — people on the left to support what would be a very generous basic guaranteed income, in a coalition with significant elements on the right, including the libertarian right, that has basically the motivation that this will undermine existing social welfare institutions, potentially undermine public-sector unions. Because a lot of the services — health, education, housing — might become much more marketized and privatized.
    You can imagine that if this proposal in Switzerland passes and everyone gets $2,800, that the right can say, “Well, why should we provide healthcare — why don’t we let people use the money that we’re giving them? Why should we provide public schools — we should let people use the money that we’re giving them to buy education for their kids in the marketplace.”
    I mean, it would in principle be possible to provide both a guaranteed basic income and maintain the level of the social welfare system that exists in this country. But politically, that’s an extremely heavy lift. Protecting an existing welfare system which is under attack, while implementing an astonishingly new comprehensive, generous addition to that, without any negative effects on the existing system – I just find that very hard.
    So what are the merits of universal basic income?
    We have a system that has high unemployment, high underemployment. This would allow people to survive and to live, with dignity, assuming that other systems stay in place. It puts a floor under wages — people could say, “I don’t have to do that job if you’re not going to pay well.” People could pursue a lot of activities that are not particularly well paid but that have a lot of social use or personal satisfaction: art, creative work, volunteer work, working with people who have disabilities.
    So if we were a very rich world, which I think we are to a certain degree, it would be a remarkable way to make sure that people could maximize their ability to express themselves but also maximize their ability to participate in the communities that they live in in a full way. Stay home and take care of kids if that’s what you want to do. Take care of your parents when they’re old and sick.
    People sometimes refer to this as a kind of “Star Trek” economy — you just said, “Replicator, make me a ham sandwich.” There wasn’t any social conflict around production and consumption. And that, I think, is that kind of ideal in which this kind of a thing could play out. We are probably there in terms of the economics. We are very, very wealthy — we could afford to do this. But we are not there in terms of the politics.
    How directly do you think this kind of policy challenges the politics we see here in the U.S. around the work ethic — this focus on designing policies, or opposing them, for the sake of making sure everybody seeks out a job, even if it’s a low-paying one?
    I don’t think that the politics in the United States are remotely open to this. You can make a sophisticated argument that it actually takes away the tax that often falls on people when they have conditional benefits [in that such benefits are taken away when you cross an income threshold] — there is a possibility that the incentives could work in a positive way toward people working more.
    But just think for a minute: I mean, what are the politics in the United States on the right that would allow somebody to vote for a program that literally pays people if they do nothing? And that would very quickly become “it pays people to do nothing.” And similarly, I think it’s hard to imagine centrist Democrats or center-left Democrats supporting something like that, because they would be called out. Especially in a context where race is going to play for sure.
    Social scientists have argued that American hatred for “welfare” is racially coded, and that historic support for stronger social programs in Europe has been tied in part to ethnic homogeneity and lower immigration.
    I think that’s an important part of the dynamic.
    At the end of World War II, many European countries had strong social democratic traditions and strong unions, and they shaped welfare systems that had their problems — they were very oriented toward a male breadwinner — but their initial tendencies were toward universal programs that covered a lot of aspects of people’s lives. In the U.S., we built a kind of social welfare system that had a built-in sunset: the GI Bill. So we provided education and housing to GIs, and as those men who had fought got older, the system kind of faded out.
    You have to add on top of that [that] at that time most European countries were fairly homogenous. They had much less by way of immigration. They did not have a civil war based around slavery.
    A guaranteed basic income would be something that would be, in the current [U.S.] context, immediately politicized and seen through a lens of race. It’s not a reason not to do it, but it’s hard to imagine that it could not be front and center in the discussion.
    Source: http://www.salon.com/2013/10/11/rath...rek_economics/

    first things first; i do approve of a basic living stipend, even if it's just about 2-3k a month; you don't have to worry about the rent or starving to death or having to sell your body to someone who wouldn't be able to get laid otherwise.

    But the other issues i'm not comfortable with are economic; what impact is this going to have on inflation? or dirty illegal immigrants wanting in on the slush fund action?
    Last edited by Adar; December 28, 2013 at 11:18 AM.

  2. #2
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    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income; Corporate Bigshots Panic Over Not Being Able To Find Enough Desperate Women Willing to Have Sex With Them For Money


    Dat font size. In italics. Muh eyes.

    Did this pass the vote? Would be cool to see how it worked, if Switzerland wants to guinea pig itself.

  3. #3

    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income; Corporate Bigshots Panic Over Not Being Able To Find Enough Desperate Women Willing to Have Sex With Them For Money

    Dat thread title. Too dam long. Exarch still hasn't learned that the thing is a part of the friggin' url. Can a mod change the title to something appropriately short?
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    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income; Corporate Bigshots Panic Over Not Being Able To Find Enough Desperate Women Willing to Have Sex With Them For Money

    Quote Originally Posted by Gaidin View Post
    Dat thread title. Too dam long. Exarch still hasn't learned that the thing is a part of the friggin' url. Can a mod change the title to something appropriately short?
    But then it wouldn't contain Exarch's trademark hyperbole and inaccuracies.
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  5. #5
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    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income; Corporate Bigshots Panic Over Not Being Able To Find Enough Desperate Women Willing to Have Sex With Them For Money

    This has been on the forum before and its also hilariously inaccurate. They are offering a referendum.

    Personally I'm in favour of it for some odd reasons. As a social experiement. I want to see the financial viability in comparison to all the other ways of doing it and a 5 year study on its social effects. Brutal that we have to experiment on entire populations* but we'll know for sure and I for one really hope that it works because it is a far better way than say the way the UK treats jobseekers.

    *As experiments go its not exactly japanese pow experiments, giving people free money isn't that brutal.

  6. #6

    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income

    The 100,000 signatures were necessary to start a referendum initiated by citizens (i.e. a "popular initiative"). The actual vote still has to take place.

    This has already been covered here: http://www.twcenter.net/forums/showt...-goverment!-!-!
    Last edited by don_Durandal; December 27, 2013 at 05:29 PM.
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    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income

    Sounds like it would be a way to keep unemployment payments from distorting the labor market.

    In the US there have been a lot of state-level experiments with maintaining unemployment payments even after a recipient has found a job for a certain length of time.

  8. #8

    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income

    Quote Originally Posted by Sphere View Post
    Sounds like it would be a way to keep unemployment payments from distorting the labor market.

    In the US there have been a lot of state-level experiments with maintaining unemployment payments even after a recipient has found a job for a certain length of time.
    Ironically the US actually has money to spend as far as what it can borrow if not for the fact that the Republicans stonewall everything and manufacture crises every three months. It's the market manipulations that we're limited to and the Treasury is honest enough with itself to admit those are running out of gas.
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  9. #9
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    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income

    *As experiments go its not exactly japanese pow experiments, giving people free money isn't that brutal.
    Except there is no free money, as the US is going to find out at some point, and Greece already has. So has Spain.
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  10. #10
    Denny Crane!'s Avatar Comes Rei Militaris
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    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income

    Quote Originally Posted by Simon Cashmere View Post
    Except there is no free money, as the US is going to find out at some point, and Greece already has. So has Spain.
    I'll make the same point as when people object to the recent UK MP pay rises. If the solution is worked out to be cost neutral, as is proposed, then it isn't costing any more than you are already spending so where is the valid objection?

  11. #11
    Denny Crane!'s Avatar Comes Rei Militaris
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    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income

    Hang on. I thought this was universal welfare. Just reading Tim Harfords blog and rather than 2500 a year its 2500 a month...how odd!

    The concept of paying people to sit around has an upside, writes Tim Harford

    ‘Swiss to vote on 2,500 franc basic income for every adult.” Reuters, 4 October 2013

    How much is that?

    It’s about £1,700 a month – over £20,000 a year.

    Payable to whom?

    Everybody, or at least, every adult citizen. It’s called a “basic income” and everyone gets it, no strings attached.

    You have to be joking.

    We’ll have to see whether the Swiss think it’s funny or not – they are holding a referendum, which is something they do quite a lot. But the idea of a basic income suddenly seems to be back on the radar after many years of being out of fashion. The New York Times announced recently that at the cocktail parties of Berlin there is talk of little else; US policy wonks are getting excited about it too.

    This sounds like some communist plot. How can anyone take seriously the idea of paying people to sit around on their backsides?

    The idea is endorsed not only by experts on inequality such as Oxford’s Sir Tony Atkinson, but by the late Milton Friedman, an unlikely communist. The idea of a basic income is one that unites many left- and rightwingers while commanding very little support in the mainstream.

    What on earth did Friedman see in the idea?

    He saw an alternative to the current welfare state. We pay money to certain people of working age, but often only on the condition that they’re not working. Then, in an attempt to overcome the obvious problem that we’re paying people not to work, we chivvy them to get a job. Our efforts are demeaning and bureaucratic without being particularly effective. A basic income goes to all, whether they work or not.

    And nobody would.

    Well, maybe. If the basic income was something more modest than the Swiss campaigners have in mind – say, £75 a week, roughly the level at which the UK’s Income Support is paid – then I think most people would want to supplement that. There wouldn’t be a sudden withdrawal of benefits, so seeking part- or full-time work would be straightforward. Some advocates of a basic income see the prospect of voting with your backside as an advantage of the proposal: it would encourage employers to make low-paid jobs less uncomfortable and degrading.

    Your strategy appears to be “try it and hope”.

    I’m not entirely convinced of the idea myself, but I do think it should be taken more seriously than it currently is in the UK. Unlike many utopian policies, this has been tried with a set of rigorous experiments in the US in the late 1960s and 1970s. It turns out that people do work less if offered a basic income – but the effect is not dramatic by any means.

    This can’t be affordable.

    That depends on whether people withdraw en masse from the labour force. If most people keep working, as I would expect, the idea is less expensive than it might seem. The basic income could replace all sorts of benefits, and would also presumably replace the personal allowance for income tax. In some ways the size of the state would have to rise: some tax, such as VAT, income tax, or both, would have to raise more money. In other ways the size of the state would shrink. This is what appeals to some conservatives: Friedman believed that with a reasonable basic income for all, the welfare state as we know it would wither.

    What about special cases – people with severe and expensive disabilities?

    Friedman argued in Free to Choose, a book published in 1980, that such cases would be few enough that private charities would deal with them. I am not sure the modern world would accept that answer. And this does point to a general concern about basic income schemes: they look efficient and neat on paper but in reality one suspects that the complexities of the modern welfare state would fail to disappear. We would probably have exemptions for immigrants, housing allowances for Londoners, and all the rest.

    I still think we’d get a country full of layabouts.

    That’s the risk, I suppose. There is an alternative way to look at all this: an increasing number of economists are beginning to worry that technological change may make large numbers of people completely unemployable. In short, the robots are coming to take our jobs. These concerns have been wrong before, but perhaps this time really is different. If so, we’ll need an economic system that can cope when lots of people have no way to making a living. I wonder if everyone has a basic income in Star Trek.

    Also published at ft.com.
    Milton Friedman supported it, even more odd.
    Last edited by Denny Crane!; December 27, 2013 at 06:30 PM.

  12. #12

    Default Re: Switzerland Issues Universal Basic Income

    If the Swiss adopt it, it won't be for Utopian reasons. But it's unlikely.
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