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Thread: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

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  1. #1

    Default The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    The official 2012 TWC Electoral College Prediction contest is now open. Maintaining a tradition going back a few elections, you may from now until 6 pm eastern time on election day make your prediction. The prize.....pure bragging rights. I know I've bragged often how I nailed the 2004 election on the head, and lamented I finished second in 2008 (curse you Missouri!!!).

    Although I'm pretty sure who is going to win, and have already early voted, I am going to wait a few more days to make this year's electoral college prediction.

    The earliest dated, closest predictor wins.

    To aid you in your efforts....

    http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/eca...#?battleground

    Your prediction must be numerically typed in, a map will not be considered a legitimate entry.

    Let the games begin!!!!!
    Last edited by Mikelus Trento; October 25, 2012 at 11:41 AM.
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  2. #2

    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    I think Obama might lose Florida (hopefully no one finds it). I think he will get my state, Colorado as well as Ohio, Pennsylvania and Iowa that will give him the win.

    So Obama 284, and Romney 254.

  3. #3
    I WUB PUGS's Avatar OOH KILL 'EM
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Pug's map:


    Obama 294
    Romney 244
    Last edited by I WUB PUGS; October 25, 2012 at 12:32 PM.

  4. #4

    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    My map had Obama winning with 311 electoral votes.
    Last edited by chilon; October 24, 2012 at 05:39 PM.
    "Our opponent is an alien starship packed with atomic bombs," I said. "We have a protractor."

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  5. #5

    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Quote Originally Posted by chilon View Post
    My map had Obama winning with 311 electoral votes.
    Interesting. What states? That's very much a best-case-scenario for Obama. My best-case for the Pres has him at 303 votes. Best-case for Romney is 291.
    Last edited by motiv-8; October 24, 2012 at 05:53 PM.
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  6. #6

    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Quote Originally Posted by motiv-8 View Post
    Interesting. What states? That's very much a best-case-scenario for Obama. My best-case for the Pres has him at 303 votes. Best-case for Romney is 291.
    I had Obama winning Florida, Ohio and Wisconsion. Maybe a bit optimistic for Obama.

    Quote Originally Posted by Col. Tartleton View Post
    Attachment 247994

    I'm a traditionalist. Republican Blue and Democrat Red. That they flipped it in 2000 was retarded.

    290 Romney
    248 Obama

    That's the best Romney can do. I'm not sure it will be that far apart though.
    ya know Tartleton. I am really hoping I lose that bet with you.
    If Romney wins the popular vote and Obama wins electoral then maybe both sides will FINALLY get behind the idea of abolishing the outdated and pointless electoral college system in favor of a popular vote for President as it should be.

    The electoral college is outdated and needs to go
    Last edited by chilon; October 24, 2012 at 06:58 PM.
    "Our opponent is an alien starship packed with atomic bombs," I said. "We have a protractor."

    Under Patronage of: Captain Blackadder

  7. #7
    Col. Tartleton's Avatar Comes Limitis
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Quote Originally Posted by chilon View Post
    I had Obama winning Florida, Ohio and Wisconsion. Maybe a bit optimistic for Obama.



    ya know Tartleton. I am really hoping I lose that bet with you.
    If Romney wins the popular vote and Obama wins electoral then maybe both sides will FINALLY get behind the idea of abolishing the outdated and pointless electoral college system in favor of a popular vote for President as it should be.

    The electoral college is outdated and needs to go
    I just think it should be reformed. The Representative Votes should be cast district by district and the Senate votes should go to whoever gets the majority of Representative Votes. Also Washington DC should be added to Maryland as a congressional district, it shouldn't have 3 votes for a single city.

    My reforms would be to assign 436 Electoral Votes along district outcomes followed by 100 Electoral Votes for the states to push the winners over the edge.

    The office is basically Governor in Chief, he should be elected by the States, not by the people. The electoral college preserves the role of the States as Republics. Federalism and all that. A direct election ignores the structure of the Federation.
    Last edited by Col. Tartleton; October 24, 2012 at 07:32 PM.
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  8. #8

    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Nevada and Florida should probably be flipped, but yeah I would say a Romney win in Virginia and Colorado is entirely possible. Obama is up in every Nevada poll, and Romney is up in every Florida poll by about the same numbers.
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  9. #9
    I WUB PUGS's Avatar OOH KILL 'EM
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    So Obama 275, Romney 263.

    Very close indeed. I would even say in your projection that Romney carries the popular and we see riots.

  10. #10

    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Quote Originally Posted by I WUB PUGS View Post
    So Obama 275, Romney 263.

    Very close indeed. I would even say in your projection that Romney carries the popular and we see riots.
    I'll give it a bit before I give my predictions, but I amost expect Romney to get the popular vote. It will not be pretty if Obama wins on EC alone

  11. #11

    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    The popular vote is likely going to be very, very close indeed.
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    Menelik_I's Avatar Vicarius Provinciae
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Romney wins, Democrats start hiding black babies and stock pile food for the comming Armagedon.

    « Le courage est toujours quelque chose de saint, un jugement divin entre deux idées. Défendre notre cause de plus en plus vigoureusement est conforme à la nature humaine. Notre suprême raison d’être est donc de lutter ; on ne possède vraiment que ce qu’on acquiert en combattant. »Ernst Jünger
    La Guerre notre Mère (Der Kampf als inneres Erlebnis), 1922, trad. Jean Dahel, éditions Albin Michel, 1934

  13. #13
    I WUB PUGS's Avatar OOH KILL 'EM
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Your map makes me angry. See how clean my screeshot and cropping is? Do better.

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    Menelik_I's Avatar Vicarius Provinciae
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Quote Originally Posted by I WUB PUGS View Post
    Your map makes me angry. See how clean my screeshot and cropping is? Do better.
    Sorry pugs, but I am being paid enough to be as dedicated.
    « Le courage est toujours quelque chose de saint, un jugement divin entre deux idées. Défendre notre cause de plus en plus vigoureusement est conforme à la nature humaine. Notre suprême raison d’être est donc de lutter ; on ne possède vraiment que ce qu’on acquiert en combattant. »Ernst Jünger
    La Guerre notre Mère (Der Kampf als inneres Erlebnis), 1922, trad. Jean Dahel, éditions Albin Michel, 1934

  15. #15
    I WUB PUGS's Avatar OOH KILL 'EM
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Quote Originally Posted by Menelik_I View Post
    Sorry pugs, but I am being paid enough to be as dedicated.
    I hear the pay and benefits in the diamond mines is top-notch in Angola!

    Nice fellow, he is merely there to encourage productivity, the AK is just for show, really he has pockets full of candy.

  16. #16
    Menelik_I's Avatar Vicarius Provinciae
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Quote Originally Posted by I WUB PUGS View Post
    I hear the pay and benefits in the diamond mines is top-notch in Angola!

    Nice fellow, he is merely there to encourage productivity, the AK is just for show, really he has pockets full of candy.
    Everybody knows that diamond mine workers are Congolese Illegal immigrants, but these good times are over since now all mines are of the president, no more illegal mining, even for generals.

    Here another :

    « Le courage est toujours quelque chose de saint, un jugement divin entre deux idées. Défendre notre cause de plus en plus vigoureusement est conforme à la nature humaine. Notre suprême raison d’être est donc de lutter ; on ne possède vraiment que ce qu’on acquiert en combattant. »Ernst Jünger
    La Guerre notre Mère (Der Kampf als inneres Erlebnis), 1922, trad. Jean Dahel, éditions Albin Michel, 1934

  17. #17
    mrmouth's Avatar flaxen haired argonaut
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    I think Wisconsin is red and North Carolina is blue. And that difference of 5 will be huge.
    The fascists of the future will be called anti-fascists
    The best lack all conviction, while the worst are full of passionate intensity

  18. #18
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN



    I make map für führer. Unsurprisingly, the midwest and deep south were easiest to use in namen des führers. The northeast, full of liberals and subhumans, was less pliant and thus made that arm of the swastika look sort of leprous.

  19. #19
    I WUB PUGS's Avatar OOH KILL 'EM
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Only on TWC.





    Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 
    or stormfront

  20. #20
    Col. Tartleton's Avatar Comes Limitis
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    Default Re: The 2012 Electoral College Prediction Contest is now OPEN

    Attachment 247994

    I'm a traditionalist. Republican Blue and Democrat Red. That they flipped it in 2000 was retarded.

    290 Romney
    248 Obama

    That's the best Romney can do. I'm not sure it will be that far apart though.
    The Earth is inhabited by billions of idiots.
    The search for intelligent life continues...

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