180 AL

[Gandalfus]

Random event?
Nope

Winter?
Winter has arrived in Westeros in full force.

[Dirty Chai]

When is Winter coming you'd say?

[Gandalfus]

I'm leaving that to bones.

[Lord Valerius]

Death roll for Rolph Reyne (Age 57), Survival +5?

[jakev2]

Death roll for Rolph Reyne (Age 57), Survival +5?

Not needed with survival that high.

Quentyn and Arron 1/40

Quentyn: 36, lives

Arron: 34, lives

[Pinkerton]

Quentyn and Arron 1/40

[Pinkie Pie]

No rolls or skill points for my characters

[Dirty Chai]

Roll for Hallys Rowan, age 50, survival +1

[Pinkie Pie]

I need a birth roll between the Good Master of Astapor and Alys Manderly.
+1 to Birth Rolls for the latter and a Maestor/Astapor equivilant if I can have one (I am a prince so I really ahould) if not then a renowned physician for 5,000

Renowned Physician - 5000 Stags
Chance of Wife's survival: 18/20
Chance of Child's survival: 16/20

Maester - Free
Chance of Wife's survival: 19/20
Chance of Child's survival: 17/20

[Gandalfus]

Roll: 20. Wife dies
Roll: 18. Child dies.

[jakev2]

Birth rolls are requested here:

http://www.twcenter.net/forums/showt...537798&page=11

And IMO, you should have to pay for a healer. There is no order quite like the maesters anywhere outside of Westeros.

[Trot]

wow nice gandalf Jake please do a new roll

[Pinkie Pie]

Indeed, the chances of rolling that both die are too high for that to be coincidental and we both know Gandalf is biased here (his characters are tying to kill Manderly off).

[jakev2]

Indeed, the chances of rolling that both die are too high for that to be coincidental and we both know Gandalf is biased here (his characters are tying to kill Manderly off).

Have to disagree, statistics do not back up this statement.

The chance of wife dying is 1/10, the chance of the child dying is 1/5, hence the chance of both is 1/50. Bear in mind that we have had a 100 rolled for the VS - statistically, it is certainly possible and I for one trust GG.

Edit: These figures are assuming a maester, if it wasn't a maester the chances would be greater.

[Gandalfus]

So now my word is doubted, that actually was the proper roll.

I can even take a screenshot of artifact dice roll lol, I was even rolling you with the Great house Maester.

[Pinkerton]

Alys Manderly
A young girl of marriageable age. Fairly attractive and loyal to her family.
age 21
+1 to birth rates
+1 to fate
+1 to assassination
+2 to survival

+2 Survival GG, she wouldn't die, no matter what she rolled

[Pinkie Pie]

Nonetheless I would prefer it if someone unbiased did the roll.

[Gandalfus]

Very well then. She lives. But the child is dead.

[Trot]

then she had no chance of dieing and of course you thretened to kill her

[Gandalfus]

OMG, trot you are just being pathetic.