
Originally Posted by
I WUB PUGS
Just read the OP and really the link to the International Trade article.
Essentially it is an inflationary policy that benefits countries that control world trade. So the US and EU can collude and pump money into the economy by buying up toxic assets or buying bonds. These purchases are made with new money.
The benefit is that toxic assets can be taken off of balance sheets and that these injections can boost markets. It is an attempt to make the economy look and feel healthier but it is being propped up by money from the Central Bank. It isn't the same thing as Government Stimulus. It is literally taking money out of thin air and putting it into the market.
This can work fine in the EU; although Germany has blocked this in the past because their economy is very sensitive to movement in the Euro. But Bernanke has been trying to convince the ECB to pursue a policy of QE so it is probable that the the EU and US are colluding to keep the Euro and Dollar stable enough against each other to prevent damage to their economies. The added bonus is we close our exchange rates with China so we actually close our trade deficits. Again, another bonus for us!
This sounds awesome if you are in the US or EU. Big problem though. It drives the value of the dollar and euro down. People would be mistaken to think that value is only in relation to other currencies. This is wrong. What is important is the values of commodities and precious metals and other inflationary measurements, not just X dollars = Y pounds.
Rising commodity prices put pressure on poorer countries. The third world spends the majority of its wages on food. And all food is priced in dollars, worldwide. You may think that you are paying for your local food in your money, but you aren't, eventually it will be converted to dollars. If the dollar falls against your currency you may think hey that's great, my money can buy more. Wrong, because if commodity prices are outpacing this and you aren't getting paid more, you can't afford to eat anymore.
So I get paid 10 dinars a day. Those are worth 4 dollars. I need 8 ($3.20) dinars a day to eat based on current food prices. All of a sudden because of QE the dollar falls and my 10 dinars are worth 6 dollars. Great! Right? Not when commodities adjust and usually (as we've seen) inflate beyond the dollar fall. So yes, my money is worth more dollars, but if the cost of my food bill doubles so $6.40 I can no longer afford to eat.
This isn't a problem in the west, we can handle onions and wheat doubling in price, most of our food is overpriced anyway to maximize profit and competition will keep prices as low as they can while maintaining a profit. This does not apply to the third world, they don't have 80 different bread companies selling 40 different kinds of bread.
Axeman touches on something very important. The concept of the reserve currency. Yes, all I have written sounds like a giant funny game the US is playing on the rest of the world. The reality is we need a reliable medium of exchange, without it the world economy cannot function. A lack of confidence in the dollar is bad for the entire world as a whole. Until of course we find a better medium of exchange. Which can't happen because your local major banks and your central banks don't hold gold as collateral........... THEY HOLD DOLLARS. Inflationary policies concerning the dollar = everyone with a savings account in the entire world gets poorer.