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  1. #1

    Default does war stimulate the economy?

    and by economy i mean create jobs for all sectors and improve the overall economic health of a country.

  2. #2
    Mortality's Avatar Senator
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Because World War One did wonders for the economic health of countries.

    Or like how World War Two did wonders for the British economy.


  3. #3
    D.B. Cooper's Avatar Tribunus
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?



  4. #4

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Quote Originally Posted by D.B. Cooper View Post
    There's a huge problem with this.

    What if instead of buying services, people instead spend their excess money on living in slightly bigger houses (or live slightly further away).

    I'm also disliking the all taxation is bad vibe from that video. Yes people are going to buy less services if they are taxed, however there's more to the effects on the economy of infrastructure investment than that is willing to suggest.

  5. #5

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Quote Originally Posted by D.B. Cooper View Post
    Not really applicable though (or anywhere else for that matter). The broken window fallacy concentrates on short-term immediate losses through destruction of wealth, whereas the more important supposed beneficial effects are more often longterm.

    Quote Originally Posted by Enemy of the State
    Absolute nonsense. It's the broken window fallacy. Taken to its logical conclusion, this argument would suggest that we would be better off if we destroyed civilization. If breaking a window stimulates the economy, imagine what dropping nuclear bombs on all of the world's cities would do.
    The Broken Window Fallacy is just as irrelevant now as it was back in the 1850s.
    Quote Originally Posted by A.J.P. Taylor
    Peaceful agreement and government by consent are possible only on the basis of ideas common to all parties; and these ideas must spring from habit and from history. Once reason is introduced, every man, every class, every nation becomes a law unto itself; and the only right which reason understands is the right of the stronger. Reason formulates universal principles and is therefore intolerant: there can be only one rational society, one rational nation, ultimately one rational man. Decisions between rival reasons can be made only by force.





    Quote Originally Posted by H.L Spieghel
    Is het niet hogelijk te verwonderen, en een recht beklaaglijke zaak, Heren, dat alhoewel onze algemene Dietse taal een onvermengde, sierlijke en verstandelijke spraak is, die zich ook zo wijd als enige talen des werelds verspreidt, en die in haar bevang veel rijken, vorstendommen en landen bevat, welke dagelijks zeer veel kloeke en hooggeleerde verstanden uitleveren, dat ze nochtans zo zwakkelijk opgeholpen en zo weinig met geleerdheid verrijkt en versiert wordt, tot een jammerlijk hinder en nadeel des volks?
    Quote Originally Posted by Miel Cools
    Als ik oud ben wil ik zingen,
    Oud ben maar nog niet verrot.
    Zoals oude bomen zingen,
    Voor Jan Lul of voor hun god.
    Ook een oude boom wil reizen,
    Bij een bries of bij een storm.
    Zelfs al zit zijn kruin vol luizen,
    Zelfs al zit zijn voet vol worm.
    Als ik oud ben wil ik zingen.

    Cò am Fear am measg ant-sluaigh,
    A mhaireas buan gu bràth?
    Chan eil sinn uileadh ach air chuart,
    Mar dhìthein buaile fàs,
    Bheir siantannan na bliadhna sìos,
    'S nach tog a' ghrian an àird.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jörg Friedrich
    When do I stop being a justified warrior? When I've killed a million bad civilians? When I've killed three million bad civilians? According to a warsimulation by the Pentagon in 1953 the entire area of Russia would've been reduced to ruins with 60 million casualties. All bad Russians. 60 million bad guys. By how many million ''bad'' casualties do I stop being a knight of justice? Isn't that the question those knights must ask themselves? If there's no-one left, and I remain as the only just one,

    Then I'm God.
    Quote Originally Posted by Louis Napoleon III, Des Idees Napoleoniennes
    Governments have been established to aid society to overcome the obstacles which impede its march. Their forms have been varied according to the problems they have been called to cure, and according to character of the people they have ruled over. Their task never has been, and never will be easy, because the two contrary elements, of which our existence and the nature of society is composed, demand the employment of different means. In view of our divine essence, we need only liberty and work; in view of our mortal nature, we need for our direction a guide and a support. A government is not then, as a distinguished economist has said, a necessary ulcer; it is rather the beneficent motive power of all social organisation.


    Quote Originally Posted by Wolfgang Held
    I walked into those baracks [of Buchenwald concentrationcamp], in which there were people on the three-layered bunkbeds. But only their eyes were alive. Emaciated, skinny figures, nothing more but skin and bones. One thinks that they are dead, because they did not move. Only the eyes. I started to cry. And then one of the prisoners came, stood by me for a while, put a hand on my shoulder and said to me, something that I will never forget: ''Tränen sind denn nicht genug, mein Junge,
    Tränen sind denn nicht genug.''

    Jajem ssoref is m'n korew
    E goochem mit e wenk, e nar mit e shtomp
    Wer niks is, hot kawsones

  6. #6

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    What if instead of buying services, people instead spend their excess money on living in slightly bigger houses (or live slightly further away).
    And this is good why?

  7. #7

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Of course wars stimulate economies that have unemployment problems (which is quite a big problem). By increasing employment the number of consumers, and thus spenders, increase - the trick is to gradually decrease military spending after the war so that unemployment doesn't become an issue again. Oh and it of course sucks if the war destroys ones own infrastructure.

    Quote Originally Posted by D.B. Cooper View Post
    Completely and utterly irrelevant to the subject at hand. The author of the video forgot to mention that consumers/companies don't spend all the money they get their hands on as fast as possible. ESPECIALLY during recessions, which is what we were talking about here.

  8. #8
    MathiasOfAthens's Avatar Comes Rei Militaris
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Not always. Plus after the war is over the economy has to switch from producing arms to civilian goods which is not easy.

  9. #9
    Centenarius
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    When unemployment is high, a small war can stimulate the economy, but in the general sense, no.

  10. #10
    MathiasOfAthens's Avatar Comes Rei Militaris
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Quote Originally Posted by RTW Fan View Post
    When unemployment is high, a small war can stimulate the economy, but in the general sense, no.
    A small war would not stimulate the economy because the needs of the military in terms of ammunition, weapons, vehicles, etc are already being met by the private sector. It would take a war that mobilizes the entire country to stimulate the economy and employ a larger workforce. Its the transition back to a civilian economy though that really bites. After WW1 we entered a recession due to a high number of unemployed soldiers. After WW2 though the returning GIs were able to find jobs or go to school on the GI bill.

  11. #11
    Manuel I Komnenos's Avatar Rex Regum
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Quote Originally Posted by MathiasOfAthens View Post
    A small war would not stimulate the economy because the needs of the military in terms of ammunition, weapons, vehicles, etc are already being met by the private sector. It would take a war that mobilizes the entire country to stimulate the economy and employ a larger workforce. Its the transition back to a civilian economy though that really bites. After WW1 we entered a recession due to a high number of unemployed soldiers. After WW2 though the returning GIs were able to find jobs or go to school on the GI bill.
    The small war of Germany against Czechoslovakia is probably an example of a war that stimulated Germany's economy. Particularly because of its small cost and the fact that Czechoslovakia was full of mines and very advanced industries.
    Under the patronage of Emperor Maximinus Thrax
    "Steps to be taken in case Russia should be forced out of war considered. Various movements [of ] troops to and from different fronts necessary to meeting possible contingencies discussed. Conference also weighed political, economic, and moral effect both upon Central and Allied powers under most unfavorable aspect from Allied point of view. General conclusions reached were necessity for adoption of purely defensive attitude on all secondary fronts and withdrawing surplus troops for duty on western front. By thus strengthening western front [those attending] believed Allies could hold until American forces arrive in numbers sufficient to gain ascendancy."
    ~General Pershing, report to Washington, 26 July 1917

  12. #12
    Manuel I Komnenos's Avatar Rex Regum
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Depends on the time frame we are talking about. Rome's economy was growing quickly as long as the state expanded. The Romans would capture the treasures of the enemy and loot each country completely. Today things are a bit different. Wars or crises stimulate the economies of third countries which supply those engaged with weapons. Needless to say, the American and German industries have feasted on the Greek-Turkish disputes in the Aegean Sea. Also, the Arabian and Israeli states have spent huge amounts of money in American weapons.
    Under the patronage of Emperor Maximinus Thrax
    "Steps to be taken in case Russia should be forced out of war considered. Various movements [of ] troops to and from different fronts necessary to meeting possible contingencies discussed. Conference also weighed political, economic, and moral effect both upon Central and Allied powers under most unfavorable aspect from Allied point of view. General conclusions reached were necessity for adoption of purely defensive attitude on all secondary fronts and withdrawing surplus troops for duty on western front. By thus strengthening western front [those attending] believed Allies could hold until American forces arrive in numbers sufficient to gain ascendancy."
    ~General Pershing, report to Washington, 26 July 1917

  13. #13

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Quote Originally Posted by Manuel I Komnenos View Post
    Depends on the time frame we are talking about. Rome's economy was growing quickly as long as the state expanded. The Romans would capture the treasures of the enemy and loot each country completely. Today things are a bit different. Wars or crises stimulate the economies of third countries which supply those engaged with weapons. Needless to say, the American and German industries have feasted on the Greek-Turkish disputes in the Aegean Sea. Also, the Arabian and Israeli states have spent huge amounts of money in American weapons.
    The Roman economy was based more and more on huge plantations worked by slaves. The main way to increase production was to expand horizontally, that is acquire more slaves to work more land - not improve technology in agriculture (with slave labour giving very little incentive to invest in agricultural inventions etc. Which is also why ancient agriculture remained quite primitive, especially compared to the civic life).

    So in that kind of system wars provide a constant stream of slaves, which translates to economic growth.

    As you say, things are different now. Though the certain sectors can still benefit immensely from the country being at war, even if it's very, very expensive for the government (and therefore the taxpayer).

  14. #14

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Only insomuch is that it prompts expansion of the money supply through loans of necessity to exploit that economic potential that already existed that would not normally be used due to lack of money.
    "All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing"
    Edmund Burke

    Carpe Diem




  15. #15
    Claudius Gothicus's Avatar Petit Burgués
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    As long as the war is happening somewhere else(this means your productive basis is not being threatened by destruction) and you are dealing with a previously underemployed population it does. But only for a short time, let us remember that the one replacing consumer demand in war-time is the State and when the State consumes all by itself it generates public debt which can't be unpayed forever.

    Under the Patronage of
    Maximinus Thrax

  16. #16

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Quote Originally Posted by Claudius Gothicus View Post
    As long as the war is happening somewhere else(this means your productive basis is not being threatened by destruction) and you are dealing with a previously underemployed population it does. But only for a short time, let us remember that the one replacing consumer demand in war-time is the State and when the State consumes all by itself it generates public debt which can't be unpayed forever.
    That's what happened to Australia in 1938 because our economy was still in depression. The broken window fallacy makes the assumption that the money was going to be spent in the community, the baker or tax payers might squirrel their money away in an overseas bank account for 20 years or spend it all on imported goods.

  17. #17
    YuriVII's Avatar Primicerius
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Who were the biggest industrial powers on the eve of WWII? I'd imagine Britain, France, Germany, and the United States with USSR going at an explosive pace. After WWII all these countries were in ruins or in Britain's case bankrupt. America suffered no bombing campaigns, no wholesale slaughter of her citizens, no invasion. You cant deny that the rest of the world being in ashes didn't help America out. So in this case war helped out America...but not for the reason you think.


    +rep to the guy who posted the broken window fallacy.
    Last edited by YuriVII; January 11, 2012 at 11:56 PM.

  18. #18

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Absolute nonsense. It's the broken window fallacy. Taken to its logical conclusion, this argument would suggest that we would be better off if we destroyed civilization. If breaking a window stimulates the economy, imagine what dropping nuclear bombs on all of the world's cities would do.

  19. #19
    Psychonaut's Avatar Domesticus
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    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Quote Originally Posted by Enemy of the State View Post
    Absolute nonsense. It's the broken window fallacy. Taken to its logical conclusion, this argument would suggest that we would be better off if we destroyed civilization. If breaking a window stimulates the economy, imagine what dropping nuclear bombs on all of the world's cities would do.
    Did you by chance read this book? Haha because I just started reading it today and what you posted is exactly what the author was saying...

  20. #20

    Default Re: does war stimulate the economy?

    Quote Originally Posted by mcmufffins View Post
    Did you by chance read this book? Haha because I just started reading it today and what you posted is exactly what the author was saying...
    That's because they're all copypasting Bastiat, back when it wasn't an analogy but it was an actual argument against the notion that was seriously considered by some of destroying huge parts of Paris. The irony is that when Paris was renovated several years after his death it was of great benefit to the city, improving infrastructure making it easier for trade to go in and out, as well as building aquaducts and reservoirs which brought fresh water to the city and prevented more outbreaks of disease, and generally just transforming it into the romantic city that still attracts millions of tourists to this day.
    Quote Originally Posted by A.J.P. Taylor
    Peaceful agreement and government by consent are possible only on the basis of ideas common to all parties; and these ideas must spring from habit and from history. Once reason is introduced, every man, every class, every nation becomes a law unto itself; and the only right which reason understands is the right of the stronger. Reason formulates universal principles and is therefore intolerant: there can be only one rational society, one rational nation, ultimately one rational man. Decisions between rival reasons can be made only by force.





    Quote Originally Posted by H.L Spieghel
    Is het niet hogelijk te verwonderen, en een recht beklaaglijke zaak, Heren, dat alhoewel onze algemene Dietse taal een onvermengde, sierlijke en verstandelijke spraak is, die zich ook zo wijd als enige talen des werelds verspreidt, en die in haar bevang veel rijken, vorstendommen en landen bevat, welke dagelijks zeer veel kloeke en hooggeleerde verstanden uitleveren, dat ze nochtans zo zwakkelijk opgeholpen en zo weinig met geleerdheid verrijkt en versiert wordt, tot een jammerlijk hinder en nadeel des volks?
    Quote Originally Posted by Miel Cools
    Als ik oud ben wil ik zingen,
    Oud ben maar nog niet verrot.
    Zoals oude bomen zingen,
    Voor Jan Lul of voor hun god.
    Ook een oude boom wil reizen,
    Bij een bries of bij een storm.
    Zelfs al zit zijn kruin vol luizen,
    Zelfs al zit zijn voet vol worm.
    Als ik oud ben wil ik zingen.

    Cò am Fear am measg ant-sluaigh,
    A mhaireas buan gu bràth?
    Chan eil sinn uileadh ach air chuart,
    Mar dhìthein buaile fàs,
    Bheir siantannan na bliadhna sìos,
    'S nach tog a' ghrian an àird.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jörg Friedrich
    When do I stop being a justified warrior? When I've killed a million bad civilians? When I've killed three million bad civilians? According to a warsimulation by the Pentagon in 1953 the entire area of Russia would've been reduced to ruins with 60 million casualties. All bad Russians. 60 million bad guys. By how many million ''bad'' casualties do I stop being a knight of justice? Isn't that the question those knights must ask themselves? If there's no-one left, and I remain as the only just one,

    Then I'm God.
    Quote Originally Posted by Louis Napoleon III, Des Idees Napoleoniennes
    Governments have been established to aid society to overcome the obstacles which impede its march. Their forms have been varied according to the problems they have been called to cure, and according to character of the people they have ruled over. Their task never has been, and never will be easy, because the two contrary elements, of which our existence and the nature of society is composed, demand the employment of different means. In view of our divine essence, we need only liberty and work; in view of our mortal nature, we need for our direction a guide and a support. A government is not then, as a distinguished economist has said, a necessary ulcer; it is rather the beneficent motive power of all social organisation.


    Quote Originally Posted by Wolfgang Held
    I walked into those baracks [of Buchenwald concentrationcamp], in which there were people on the three-layered bunkbeds. But only their eyes were alive. Emaciated, skinny figures, nothing more but skin and bones. One thinks that they are dead, because they did not move. Only the eyes. I started to cry. And then one of the prisoners came, stood by me for a while, put a hand on my shoulder and said to me, something that I will never forget: ''Tränen sind denn nicht genug, mein Junge,
    Tränen sind denn nicht genug.''

    Jajem ssoref is m'n korew
    E goochem mit e wenk, e nar mit e shtomp
    Wer niks is, hot kawsones

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