Take the sentence "God will create the world from nothing" and represent it as the wff C.
Call the set of worlds in which C is true {w:w⊨C}. The probability of C we'll call P(C) and we'll represent this as u({w:w ⊨ C}) where u is a function that takes as its arguments sets of worlds and outputs their probability. The probability of the set of all worlds is one. The probability of a union of disjoint sets of worlds is the sum of the probabilities of each world. The probability of a set of joint worlds is the sum of their probabilities plus the probability of their intersection.1,2
We can split C into a very large conjunctive sentence. Call the proposition "God exists" G.
Then "C" can be written as "G ∧¬A ∧¬B ∧¬C ∧¬D...", where A,B,C, and so forth are existential propositions. We know that P(G) is 1 since God is a necessary being, and therefore exists in the set of all worlds (and the set of all worlds has a probability of 1). The probability of nothing existing at all then, is 0. Correspondingly there is only one existential proposition that is a member of the set {w:w ⊨ C}. However, if the prior probability of nothing is very low, and worlds in which there is just one true existential proposition are similar to worlds in which nothing exists, then by the similarity relation3 those worlds have a very low probability as well. We are unjustified of course, in saying the probability is zero, because they are certainly still possible worlds by most possibility criteria. So we simply say the probability of the set of w such that C is true in w is ridiculously low, or <<<<<<<1.
From this it follows that, probably, there was something around when God was making the world. Maybe meta-world stuff. A more plausible solution is that the universe simply infinitely existed, and God has sustained it forever (as in the Thomist account of christianity). Another possibility is pantheism, which implies the universe is god, or panentheism, which implies the universe is made out of God stuff and so is a piece of God.
1. Bacchus, Fahiem. "On Probability Distributions over Possible Worlds." Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 4 (1990). Print. (Available at citeseer:http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/...10.1.1.173.620)
2. Poole, David L., and Alan K. Mackworth. "6.1." Artificial Intelligence: Foundations of Computational Agents. New York: Cambridge UP, 2010. Print. (Available online by courtesy of the authors:http://artint.info/html/ArtInt_140.html)
3. Bigelow, John C. "Semantics of Probability." Synthese 36.4 (1977): 459-72. Print. (Available at jstor:http://www.jstor.org/pss/20115242)




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