
Originally Posted by
Lysimachus
Would he have been better off doing a more conventional seaborne invasion
or was crossing the Alps the best thing he could have done?..
before we get onto your questions, recall that Hanny`s father lost in sicly because he was dependent on supply by sea, one lesson hanny may well have learnt was that it was better to trust in your own ability to supply yourself than to chance it across the sae lanes, also Hanny showed no aptitude for naval operations at all, and had next to no navy to work with in any event.
Lets review his and romes naval assests in Spain, Carthage and Rome.
35 Quinq and 5 Triremes all fuly manned, 18 without adequate crews in Spain, 55 quinq`s at Carthage. Rome having a fleet of 220 quinq`s, so any seaborne inavsion could not be protected not could suffienct sea lift be marshalled to lift his army of 90k inf and 12k mounted plus 58 elephants, which he split to take with hima nd leave with his brother.
Any seaborne lift had to cover a considerable distance to reach its destination, therby exposing the sea lift to a consular army that would drasticly outnumber it depending on how much was dispacthced by sea, given that x number of men require y amounts of grain and water, we can aduce the requirements that would ned to be carried on the transports to suatin the lift, and of course compare it to what is required on land anc compare the expected 16 miles a day on land to 3/4 knots at sea. One caveat here is that the wind in that part of the Med are not in Hannys favour at the time he found he wanted to leave for italy, meaning oars for the best speed against the wind.
Best thing could mean many things, is it best to keep your army united?, even so to make the march he split into 3 wings. What was Hannys principle war aim?, if we acept that he wanted to remove Rome as the pre eminent Italain power, with acess to a large pool of resources of allied and satalite states, and return Italy to a fractured inter feuding region where Rome was just one of many, and none had the material resources of a united Latin confederation, then this can only be achieved by destrying Roman ability to keep its allies with it,then we can probably agree what best may have ment to Hannys mind and strategic thinking,that being an offensive based on superior mobility against an enemy who was forced to defend fixed assets.
Is that your understanding of his principle war aim?. If so it helps answer other questions as to why Hanny never really wanted to, or tried to siege out Rome, as it was not required for his war aim.

Originally Posted by
Lysimachus
By doing so he
achieved what was thought to be impossible, caught the Romans by surprise
and basically got him right in to their heartland and allowed him to roam
freely around pillaging and burning the landscape, and he then proceeded
to crushingly defeat a number of Roman armies (e.g, at Cannae)..
The Suprise he achieved is in every acount, so he certainly achieved the element of suprise, not least because of the timeing of his arrival outside what Rome understood the usual campaign seasons, Hanny learnt of Rome DOW in the spring, (april of so), he crosses the Ebro a month later (May), spends 2 moths reducing pro Roman or at least not pro Hanny regions of Spain between teh Ebro and the Pyrennees, leaving for Italy in Aug/Sept, covering around a 1000 miles, Sept was when Romans went home as the war season was over.
Surpise was double, as both where and when he came caught Rome unprepared. Rome had 72k raised for the war, Hanny in Spain 102k, a healthy numerical advantage.

Originally Posted by
Lysimachus
However,
crossing the Alps had reduced his army quite alot and had left him unable
of bringing heavy weapons with him which meant that conquering towns was
out of the question unless they had submitted to him and this restricted
him to roaming the countryside..
Well what is quite a lot?, 102k is Spain, 26k in Italy some 8 months later is probablly what your thing is quite a lot, ( compare to Napolean in 3 months of summer going from 450k to 180k in 1812, and even worse comming back in winter) a loss of 75% of starting Carthaginain forces. But we know some 50k of that was left as garrisons or disbaned, so the number actually irrevocably lost to combat disease etc was actually around 25% of start strength, a completly different picture, depends what your thinking of as lost.
What heavy weapons do you mean?, the elephants could carry anothing required thbat was of bulk, do you mean siege equipment?, if so its only wood, so to produce siege equipmemt only requires men with skill and time to produce it, but that is not what hanny operational aim is, he wanted mobility, which was why he went with treachery to gain fortiefied posistions whenver possible rather thana siege, a siege fixes you to a spot and would take away hanny greatest advantage, hios mobility, but Hannibals logistics was based on the mule and it provided him with a pace of mobility the Romans could not match and was central to his operational scheme of winning through superior mobility that created opourtunitys for him to expolit, coupled with a cav arm that would allow him to forage by controlling the landscape and turn any defeat into a ruthless extermination.
So lets break it down from Livy and Polybios numbers where they give them for his losses.
In Spain in June 90k foot 12k mounted
At the Pyrennes Aug 59k, ( a total of 22k are listed as lost or deserted or left as garriosn) so 22k lost in reducing the tribes of Spain., distance marched 290 miles.
at the Rhone Sept 46k, 13k more used as garriosns)180 miles more miles, dithers here as no roman resposns as excepted arrived, Scipio being late in getting to goto Spain, losing one of his legions to got the Po valley to replacea lost legionand had to raise another to replace it, so was late by a m,onth or 6 weeks in getting to nwhere Scip[io wanted top be and hanny expected him to be,so hanny moves onwards.
In Italy, Oct/Nov 26k 20k more lost since leaving the Rhone.160 more miles miles to the alps, 140 miles to cross and enter the Po valley.
Now the 102k is what Livy says he sets out with, and his source is a Roman preater who Hanny had captured and was holding for ransom, so its possible the praetor was privy to what Hannys total force was in Spain, ie not quite what he left with because we also know that Hanny sent 15500 of his spanish assets to Africa, and recieved Africans in return, and left further Spainish assets with his brother but of a small number, if we take that to be 16k in all, it reduces the unlikly 22k lost in the openeing 2 moths to 6k lost ( which compares more in line with carthaginian losses in battle in Italy, Cannea 8k 2/3 for Trebbia for instance. The last one is the 26k being as what Hanny leaves us as the number he arrived with, but this does not include any of his light troops who are later liosted as being present in both counts, this omits 8000, so Hanny record could be 8k lower if the balerics and light troops are included, this means he lost 12k between rhone and Italy.
So, we have a a start strength of 102, less deductions for garrions or disbanded and a total lost to all other causes of 6k in the opening 2 months, 8k for the last 2, the inital stage was therfore in keeping witah loss rate he would find when fighting in Italy, but only if we acept that the 16k is deducted from his on hand strength and is actually in Africa nd not with him in Spain, but to my mind, it fits as argument to better understand the numbers provided, crossing the alps again puts the loss rate back into the same order of magnitude when you consider that units refered to in battles and the numbers given for them, do not appear on the tablet used to detail the forces Hanny arrived with in italy.
So its plausable that Hannys actualy number of casulaties is consirable lower than you may be thinking, even if you use the staright numbers Livy/Polybios give us, you find a high loss rate, but it rather depends what you campare it against, if its execisive does it not?.

Originally Posted by
Lysimachus
After a number of Roman armies had been
destroyed by Hannibal, Consul Quintus Fabius Maximus employed a strategy
of attrition which although frustrated his peers for their desire for an
open engagement, meant that he was weakening Hannibal and in hindsight
proved to be a very effective strategy. .
Atrition is not a stratrgy, its the absence of a stratergy!, attrtion is simply a fact of mil life, in ww2 an allied Inf Div would lose 1% a week of its manpower when not in combat, when in combat this could rise to unsustainbable rates of atrition, but the rate of atrition/friction, is what counts. What Fabias emloyed was startergy of delay and avoidence of combat, knowing that hanny could not replace his manpower at the rate Rome could, if Rome had the time to do so.

Originally Posted by
Lysimachus
How long did it take him to cross the Alps? If he'd went during the spring
or summer wouldn't that have gave him less campaigning time before winter
set in? Also, why was Hannibal in such a hurry? Was he eager to work on
the promise he made to his father or was pressure being applied on to
Carthage and immediate action was a necessity, or...?
.
Chronology is given in all good acounts, the start point in time is the determing factor, when Suguntum is reduced and the spring rains abate making the many southern Spanish rivers crossable, so hanny can only start from a later in the usual campaign season.
What does need to be borne in mind is the logistics, each horse requires 10lbs of grain a day plus an equal amount of foder, so the grass needs to be there to provide the fodder, or more grain is required.
90k foot requires 90 tons a day of grain, (2lbs of grain per man) plus 225 tons water (5lbs water per man), 12k horses require 60 tons of grain a day, plus the same of fodder, plus 4800 tons of water, so the simply act of carrying sucha load would be a considrable task if undertaken by sea, even if sucha quantity of shipping could be found. a mules load was 200lbs each.
Hanny appears to have made a rather slow march overall, 1000 miles in 240 days is an average of 4/5 miles day, but we need to consider the slowest manouver elemet of the Elephants, which would exceed that in any event, and that time was required to acumalte suffiecnt loggistics to propel the army forward through hostile regions or where no grass/grain could be purchased or siezed etc, and Hanny was certainly aware of Roman actiosn and kept hsi options open before makeinga choice of turning back onto Scipio or bypasing himand entering N Italy. The availibilty of grain in the quatitys required is dependednt on the growing season, and the state of a high desnisty regions grain storage facilitys, which helps us to undersatnd why he took so long.

Originally Posted by
Lysimachus
Couldn't he have set off from Carthage with his army, land in Sicily and
then cross near Messana with his army? It's not that long a distance so it
would reduce the naval threat posed by the Romans by giving them a narrow
window of opportunity to react to his movements.
.
He could have, but he had no authority to be in Africa with his army, his command, and personal, responsobility was Spain and its vast economic reources that helped his political faction to be the dominate faction, replacements and income from Spain was how Hanny expected to maintain himslef, remeber it had to fight its way to him, while he fixed romans in Italy and waged war on its resources while thus protecting his own from roman ravages, not from africa except for speclaist troop types, ie numidian and elephants. So crossing back to Africa and marching overland to Carthage would achive nothing but to place him on home ground when a roman consul turned up to invade Africa,( if you look at the time line and distance to be traversed) and in war, home field advatage is not all its cracked up to be as its your crops that everyone eats.
i suspect you will find this of intrest.http://www.iwar.org.uk/military/reso...ker_J_P_01.pdf
USAWC STRATEGY RESEARCH PROJECT
Comparing Strategies of the 2d Punic War:
Rome’s Strategic Victory Over the Tactical/Operational Genius, Hannibal Barca
by
LTC James Parker
US Army
http://www.pchs1.com/ecourses/punicwar/romans06.htm
This is also fun in a way.