I just noticed that there is a correlation in the Dark Ages between the date of settlement and who formed the aristocracy in a state. It seems to me like the new-comers, the "barbarian invaders", almost always founded the new kingdom where they settled after the collapse of the Roman Empire. You see this in a variety of locations:
1) France - Franks
2) Spain - Visigoths, later Moors
3) Italy - Lombards, Normans, Arabs
4) England - Final foundation by Normans
5) Russia - Rhos vikings, Cumans, Tatars
6) Hungary - Magyars
7) Central Europe: Slavs or Franks
8) Balkan space: Bulgars or Slavs.
9) Middle East: Arabs
Is this a lot less profound than it seems? On the one hand: it makes sense that newcomers create the next state, since their settlement was supposedly facilitated by the withdrawal of the former power, leaving a political vacuum. It makes sense that the conquerors make the new state and form the new nobility, even though the natives never abandoned these lands but rather lived under a foreign elite. The elite would then be indigenized.
However, it does strike me as being a bit odd that no new long-lasting kingdom on the former territory of the Roman Empire was founded by the natives. You did not have a Gallo-Roman revolt producing a Gallic Kingdom. There was no great Iberian revolt that produced a kingdom. This is almost ironic since they would have had a head-start over the barbarian invaders in that they already had a state apparatus to work with, while barbarians often started from scratch. It would theoretically take only one usurper with his own army (like Aetius, or Regalianus) to create create a break-away kingdoom.
The question is: why did it not happen? Why is it that the natives did not make their own states?






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