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  • The allies still would have won.

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  • The axis would have won the war.

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Thread: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

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  1. #1
    Sir Pignans's Avatar The bringer of cheese.
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    Default If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Lets just imagine, for a seond, that Operation Barbarossa had never happened, and that Hitler had never invaded Russia.

    What would of happened? Would we have still won the war? IF we had won it, how much more costly would it have been?

    Personally, I believe that without the Soviets, the allies, would never have been able to overcome Germany.

    Anyway, what do you think?
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  2. #2
    dogukan's Avatar Praeses
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    You never know?

    Though the war would last much longer.....and the cost of war for Germany would eventually make things harder. It would be a much longer war thats for sure.
    "Therefore I am not in favour of raising any dogmatic banner. On the contrary, we must try to help the dogmatists to clarify their propositions for themselves. Thus, communism, in particular, is a dogmatic abstraction; in which connection, however, I am not thinking of some imaginary and possible communism, but actually existing communism as taught by Cabet, Dézamy, Weitling, etc. This communism is itself only a special expression of the humanistic principle, an expression which is still infected by its antithesis – the private system. Hence the abolition of private property and communism are by no means identical, and it is not accidental but inevitable that communism has seen other socialist doctrines – such as those of Fourier, Proudhon, etc. – arising to confront it because it is itself only a special, one-sided realisation of the socialist principle."
    Marx to A.Ruge

  3. #3
    Sir Pignans's Avatar The bringer of cheese.
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by dogukan View Post
    You never know?

    Though the war would last much longer.....and the cost of war for Germany would eventually make things harder. It would be a much longer war thats for sure.
    Thats true, but in my mind, I'm sure that the axis would of won, considering the sheer military might/money they put into the Russian invasion.

    Of course, it all depends on whether the axis could of beaten the Allies before the Americans could have become fully involved with the war (Including the time it took to mobilize its troops and such).

    Of course, whatever the outcome the war would have become much more costly.
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  4. #4
    hellheaven1987's Avatar Comes Domesticorum
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Well, Japan would be defeated, but not Germany, especially when Germany had no oil supply problem...
    Quote Originally Posted by Markas View Post
    Hellheaven, sometimes you remind me of King Canute trying to hold back the tide, except without the winning parable.
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  5. #5

    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    considering 80% of Hitler's forces were fighting the soviets i would find it doubtful It's rather hard to guess, though. I don't really know the capabilities of USA, but the british and french wouldn't have a chance.

  6. #6
    ShockBlast's Avatar Protector Domesticus
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by hellheaven1987 View Post
    Well, Japan would be defeated, but not Germany, especially when Germany had no oil supply problem...
    Points at the oil from the Middle East that the Germans would have gotten after they would conquered Middle East and North Africa.
    Germany's goal was a United Europe under German leadership not conquering USA.

  7. #7

    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by ShockBlast View Post
    Points at the oil from the Middle East that the Germans would have gotten after they would conquered Middle East and North Africa.
    Germany's goal was a United Europe under German leadership not conquering USA.
    Then why did they declare war on USA in the first place?

  8. #8
    ShockBlast's Avatar Protector Domesticus
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by 0N3 View Post
    Then why did they declare war on USA in the first place?
    Because they were supplying UK with goods and still pretended to be neutral,they declared war to sink the US ships not to conquer USA.
    Quote Originally Posted by hellheaven1987 View Post
    Except the oil now would not come from Middle East, but from Caucasus.
    What makes you think the Arabs wouldn't trade with them?

    Quote Originally Posted by gsoxx View Post
    If anything the Soviets would have joined the Allies at the most opportune moment. Hitler had no illusions about this too. And the Allies still could have invaded Europe, just not through France. Once landed they could have ground Germany down much like the Soviets did. But that's of course a big what if.
    The Allies were preparing to ask for peace in case the Normandy invasion failed,they barely lost 1 million compare to the 12 or USSR.
    Germany wanted a United Europe under German leadership and without the help of USSR they would have got it.
    Last edited by ShockBlast; November 26, 2009 at 08:34 AM.

  9. #9
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by 0N3 View Post
    Then why did they declare war on USA in the first place?
    Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

    THE GERMAN DECLARATION OF WAR WITH THE UNITED STATES

    December 11, 1941

    [Department of State Bulletin, December 13, 1941.]

    (Including the circumstances of the delivery of the note as released to the press by the Department of State, December 11, 1941.)

    The German Chargé d'Affaires, Dr. Hans Thomsen, and the First Secretary of the German Embassy, Mr. von Strempel, called at the State Department at 8:00 A.M. on December 11, 1941. The Secretary, otherwise engaged, directed that they be received by the Chief of the European Division of the State Department, Mr. Ray Atherton. Mr. Atherton received the German representatives at 9:30 A.M.

    The German representatives handed to Mr. Atherton a copy of a note that is being delivered this morning, December 11, to the American Chargé d'Affaires in Berlin. Dr. Thomsen said that Germany considers herself in a state of war with the United States. He asked that the appropriate measures be taken for the departure of himself, the members of the German Embassy, and his staff in this country. He reminded Mr. Atherton that the German Government had previously expressed its willingness to grant the same treatment to American press correspondents in Germany as that accorded the American official staff on a reciprocal basis and added that he assumed that the departure of other American citizens from Germany would be permitted on the same basis of German citizens desiring to leave this country. He referred to the exchange of civilians that had been arranged at the time Great Britain and Germany broke off diplomatic relations.

    The German Chargé d'Affaires then stated that the Swiss Government would take over German interests in this country and that Dr. Bruggmann had already received appropriate instructions from his Government.

    He then handed Mr. Atherton a note from the German Government. Mr. Atherton stated that in accepting this note from the German Chargé d'Affaires he was merely formalizing the realization that the Government and people of this country had faced since the outbreak of the war in 1939 of the threat and purposes of the German Government and the Nazi regime toward this hemisphere and our free American civilization.

    Mr. Atherton then said that this Government would arrange for the delivery of Dr. Thomsen's passports and that he assumed that we would very shortly be in communication with the Swiss Minister. He added that Dr. Thomsen must realize, however, that the physical difficulties of the situation would demand a certain amount of time in working out this reciprocal arrangement for the departure of the missions of the two countries. The German representatives then took their leave.

    The text of the note which the German representatives handed to Mr. Ray Atherton, Chief of the European Division of the State Department, at 9:30 A.M., December 11, the original of which had been delivered the morning of December 11 to the American Chargé d'Affaires in Berlin, follows:

    MR. CHARGÉ D'AFFAIRES:

    The Government of the United States having violated in the most flagrant manner and in ever increasing measure all rules of neutrality in favor of the adversaries of Germany and having continually been guilty of the most severe provocations toward Germany ever since the outbreak of the European war, provoked by the British declaration of war against Germany on September 3, 1939, has finally resorted to open military acts of aggression.

    On September 11, 1941, the President of the United States publicly declared that he had ordered the American Navy and Air Force to shoot on sight at any German war vessel. In his speech of October 27, 1941, he once more expressly affirmed that this order was in force. Acting under this order, vessels of the American Navy, since early September 1941, have systematically attacked German naval forces. Thus, American destroyers, as for instance the Greer, the Kearney and the Reuben James, have opened fire on German sub-marines according to plan. The Secretary of the American Navy, Mr. Knox, himself confirmed that-American destroyers attacked German submarines.

    Furthermore, the naval forces of the United States, under order of their Government and contrary to international law have treated and seized German merchant vessels on the high seas as enemy ships.

    The German Government therefore establishes the following facts:

    Although Germany on her part has strictly adhered to the rules of international law in her relations with the United States during every period of the present war, the Government of the United States from initial violations of neutrality has finally proceeded to open acts of war against Germany. The Government of the United States has thereby virtually created a state of war.

    The German Government, consequently, discontinues diplomatic relations with the United States of America and declares that under these circumstances brought about by President Roosevelt Germany too, as from today, considers herself as being in a state of war with the United States of America.

    Accept, Mr. Chargé d'Affaires, the expression of my high consideration.

    December 11, 1941.

    RIBBENTROP.

  10. #10
    uzi716's Avatar Ordinarius
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by 0N3 View Post
    Then why did they declare war on USA in the first place?
    They had to because Japan was their ally and Hitler wasn't going to screw them over...





  11. #11
    hellheaven1987's Avatar Comes Domesticorum
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by ShockBlast View Post
    Points at the oil from the Middle East that the Germans would have gotten after they would conquered Middle East and North Africa.
    Germany's goal was a United Europe under German leadership not conquering USA.
    Except the oil now would not come from Middle East, but from Caucasus.
    Quote Originally Posted by Markas View Post
    Hellheaven, sometimes you remind me of King Canute trying to hold back the tide, except without the winning parable.
    Quote Originally Posted by Diocle View Post
    Cameron is midway between Black Rage and .. European Union ..

  12. #12

    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by dogukan View Post
    You never know?

    Though the war would last much longer.....and the cost of war for Germany would eventually make things harder. It would be a much longer war thats for sure.
    I agree!........but I think if the Germans would remove Hitler ... They would certainly won the war!
    The biggest problem for Germans was Hitler and his war tactics!

  13. #13
    Azog 150's Avatar Civitate
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Well a German invasion of Britain was impossible, but it also would have been very difficult if not impossible for the British to invade Europe. What we would have had was probably a big, long running stalemate with lots more bombs and what not.
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  14. #14

    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by Azog 150 View Post
    Well a German invasion of Britain was impossible, but it also would have been very difficult if not impossible for the British to invade Europe. What we would have had was probably a big, long running stalemate with lots more bombs and what not.
    I'm not an expert on maritime warfare, but I have always wondered about this 'impossibility'.

    What was to stop Hitler from taking the resources that he would otherwise spend fighting the USSR, and build a bunch of boats. Then load the 80% of free soldiers (otherwise tied up in Barbarossa) on these boats, and attack Great Britain.

    Once landed, there would be a very good chance of defeating the British army.

    Maybe losses would be extremely high, but 'impossible'....?

  15. #15
    Lysimachus's Avatar Spirit Cleric
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by ivan_the_terrible View Post
    I'm not an expert on maritime warfare, but I have always wondered about this 'impossibility'.

    What was to stop Hitler from taking the resources that he would otherwise spend fighting the USSR, and build a bunch of boats. Then load the 80% of free soldiers (otherwise tied up in Barbarossa) on these boats, and attack Great Britain.

    Once landed, there would be a very good chance of defeating the British army.

    Maybe losses would be extremely high, but 'impossible'....?
    Bear in mind the Soviet border would still have to be garrisoned and since the USSR was a large threat, it would be a pretty big garrison. Then there's the problem that Germany didn't have air superiority or naval superiority over Britain. Doesn't matter how many soldiers you have if you can't get them across without them being heavily mauled by the RAF and RN along with all the units deployed defending the coasts if they get that close.

  16. #16
    mrmouth's Avatar flaxen haired argonaut
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by Azog 150 View Post
    Well a German invasion of Britain was impossible, but it also would have been very difficult if not impossible for the British to invade Europe. What we would have had was probably a big, long running stalemate with lots more bombs and what not.

    Pretty long thread so I don't know if this has been addressed, but it was absolutely possible, and likely. There was a plan for it, and while the Battle of Britain put the kibosh on it overall, it really came down to one single air engagement during that battle. Or even more so, one the early warning radar saved Britain from invasion.

    Basically both air forces were punch drunk, took a lot of losses. A last major offensive designed to cripple the Brits was seen on radar and gave them just enough time to scramble the remaining force, and eventually beat back the German attack, while also crippling the Luftwaffe just long enough for the RAF to recoup with help from the US.

    Had that attack succeeded, the RAF would have become a non factor, and an invasion would have happened, in theory. What would have happened before that, is anyone's guess. Maybe the US helps reinforce the RN...
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  17. #17
    Azog 150's Avatar Civitate
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by BarnabyJones View Post
    Pretty long thread so I don't know if this has been addressed, but it was absolutely possible, and likely. There was a plan for it, and while the Battle of Britain put the kibosh on it overall, it really came down to one single air engagement during that battle. Or even more so, one the early warning radar saved Britain from invasion

    Basically both air forces were punch drunk, took a lot of losses. A last major offensive designed to cripple the Brits was seen on radar and gave them just enough time to scramble the remaining force, and eventually beat back the German attack, while also crippling the Luftwaffe just long enough for the RAF to recoup with help from the US.
    Its true that radar basically won us the air war. However, even if the Luftwaffe completely crippled the airforce there was still no chance of them invading Britain with the Royal Navy in the way.

    Saying that, even if the lost control of the skies, it would only have been over South-East England. They had plans to withdraw to Northern England if they had to, which was out of range of German fighters. From there they could still attack any Germans attempting an invasion in the south, or attempting bombing raids. Basically, loosing the Battle of Britain would not have spelled the defeat of the RAF let alone Britain. As long as the Royal Navy still stood, there was no way for Germany to actually carry it out.

    Operation Sealion (The name of the German plan) was also never really realistic. Hitler's attention was soon diverted to the USSR after the Battle of Britain, and either way Hitler arguably never saw it as a realistic plan, but more a bluff in the hope that Britain would capitulate. The RAF took many recon photos over Northern Europe and saw what appeared to be invasion barges. In reality these were mostly modified canal boats taken from Amsterdam that had absolutely no chance of successfully crossing the English channel.



    Had that attack succeeded, the RAF would have become a non factor, and an invasion would have happened, in theory. What would have happened before that, is anyone's guess. Maybe the US helps reinforce the RN...
    Again, its unlikely that even if an invasion was attempted that it would be successful, even without the RAF. In fact, in the 1970's a massive reconstruction of Operation Sealion took place, using actual German war plans along with British and German generals from the time. In the exercise (Which assumed that Britain was defeated in the Battle of Britain), the Germans got no further 15 miles in land with very heavy casualties, and just 90,000 men ashore when, 2 days after the 'invasion' the Royal Navy arrived destroying German supply lines and forcing the German 'army' to surrender.

    So again, assuming the Germans got across the English Channel unopposed and had air superiority in South East England, they probably wouldn't have been able to defeat Britain.

    Even if they did take London, Churchill and the Royal Family had plans to move the Government to Canada to continue the war. There was also a secret army formed that basically consisted of blokes who were trained in guerilla warfare, acting in groups of 8-14 and in charge of a local area. They were given a hidden base, gin rations and enough food rations for 2 weeks (They were not expected to survive more then 2 weeks. They were effectively suicide squads). They also had cyanide pills should they be captured and they didn't have any information on any other units outside of their area so if they were captured they would give nothing up.

    There was also defensive lines built up and down the country. You can still see bunkers dotted about hte countryside. Basically, if the Germans had got ashore, we weren't giving up easy.
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  18. #18

    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by Azog 150 View Post
    Again, its unlikely that even if an invasion was attempted that it would be successful, even without the RAF. In fact, in the 1970's a massive reconstruction of Operation Sealion took place, using actual German war plans along with British and German generals from the time. In the exercise (Which assumed that Britain was defeated in the Battle of Britain), the Germans got no further 15 miles in land with very heavy casualties, and just 90,000 men ashore when, 2 days after the 'invasion' the Royal Navy arrived destroying German supply lines and forcing the German 'army' to surrender.

    So again, assuming the Germans got across the English Channel unopposed and had air superiority in South East England, they probably wouldn't have been able to defeat Britain.

    Even if they did take London, Churchill and the Royal Family had plans to move the Government to Canada to continue the war. There was also a secret army formed that basically consisted of blokes who were trained in guerilla warfare, acting in groups of 8-14 and in charge of a local area. They were given a hidden base, gin rations and enough food rations for 2 weeks (They were not expected to survive more then 2 weeks. They were effectively suicide squads). They also had cyanide pills should they be captured and they didn't have any information on any other units outside of their area so if they were captured they would give nothing up.

    There was also defensive lines built up and down the country. You can still see bunkers dotted about hte countryside. Basically, if the Germans had got ashore, we weren't giving up easy.
    I agree. Germany had very well-trained troops, but British troops could rival them in many cases. With good troops and equipment, the British could've held out. Even if Germany began making headway into England, all the RN would have to do is attack the supply convoys going to-and-from Germany. The German army would eventually run out of supplies and capitulate, possibly easily.

  19. #19
    mrmouth's Avatar flaxen haired argonaut
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Quote Originally Posted by RuleBritannia View Post
    I agree. Germany had very well-trained troops, but British troops could rival them in many cases. With good troops and equipment, the British could've held out. Even if Germany began making headway into England, all the RN would have to do is attack the supply convoys going to-and-from Germany. The German army would eventually run out of supplies and capitulate, possibly easily.
    The best chances for germany were early on because of Dunkirk, but Hitler scrapped Sealion. Im not arguing that Germany ultimately succeeds, but that they could have in fact landed enough of a force to lead into a prolonged engagement.

    Although it was more than a half century ago, it was still modern warfare. Had that one single attack succeeded, the Germans could have kept the RAF in such a state that they would not have been a factor. You then have Luftwaffe vs the RN. Could the Luftwaffe have harassed the RN leaving from Scapa Flow, to the level that they are able to inflict significant losses, let alone keep supply lines open?

    Aside from that, the major portion of the infantry force was going to come from the air, in the form of paratroopers. The ultimate plan would have been very similar to the allied plan, but with the early landing force being nothing more than a decoy. Something to simply draw mustering British land forces to the coast. After seeing the size of the paratrooper force, the Brits would have then surely reinforced inland, while the rest of the amphibious force follows.

    The key to all of this, as in any modern war, is air superiority. The fact that military historians and universities still debate this, shows that it was indeed possible. Even without air superiority:

    In wargames conducted at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst in 1974, which assumed the Luftwaffe had not yet won air supremacy, the Germans were able to establish a beachhead in England by using a minefield screen in the English Channel to protect the initial assault. However, the German ground forces were delayed at the "Stop Lines" (e.g. the GHQ Line), a layered series of defensive positions that had been built, each a combination of Home Guard troops and physical barriers. At the same time, the regular troops of the British Army were forming up. After only a few days, the Royal Navy was able to reach the Channel from Scapa Flow, cutting off supplies and blocking further reinforcement. Isolated and facing regular troops with armour and artillery, the invasion force was forced to surrender
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  20. #20
    dogukan's Avatar Praeses
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    Default Re: If the soviets had never joined WWII, would the allies still have won?

    Besides, who knows Soviets wouldN't declare war anyways? In a much prepared way.
    "Therefore I am not in favour of raising any dogmatic banner. On the contrary, we must try to help the dogmatists to clarify their propositions for themselves. Thus, communism, in particular, is a dogmatic abstraction; in which connection, however, I am not thinking of some imaginary and possible communism, but actually existing communism as taught by Cabet, Dézamy, Weitling, etc. This communism is itself only a special expression of the humanistic principle, an expression which is still infected by its antithesis – the private system. Hence the abolition of private property and communism are by no means identical, and it is not accidental but inevitable that communism has seen other socialist doctrines – such as those of Fourier, Proudhon, etc. – arising to confront it because it is itself only a special, one-sided realisation of the socialist principle."
    Marx to A.Ruge

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