After the discussion in this thread here, http://www.twcenter.net/forums/showthread.php?t=294712, i really got thinking about this issue.
Considering the inaccuracy and limited killing power of colonial muskets and even more so earlier guns, it makes little sense to me that the colonial army would be superior or even able to hold their own against a medieval one. I know that gunpowder allowed easy penetration of heavy armor but it seems to little of an advantage in practice.
Again considering the discussion in the thread imagine a battle between the 2 armies. A unit of line infantry at medium range will get at best 3 kills per volley, now imagine a few knights and sergeants charging at them they will at best get 2 or 3 volley off within a range that is at all effective, killing lets say generously 10 men in the opposing unit (not even considering the armor). When the melee engagement starts all i can see is a massacre knights and spear men cutting through unarmored colonials, and god forbid they engage a unit with no bayonets (not much you can do against a knight with a rifle butt). I mean in general considering how many ranged kills these guys get it seems destroying a medieval enemy at range would be infeasible and in melee they are no match.
So currently i have 2 remaining theories on why the medieval style warfare dissolved. One is what i call the crossbow principle, because you can give any peasant a gun (particularly these inaccurate guns) and have them be as effective with it as a trained officer. So this allowed nations to field 100 s of times the gunners then they would be able to field trained medieval soldiers, and at those numbers even though inferior 1 to 1 there is little chance for victory against armor piercing pellets, so thus everyone was forced to field these kinds of armies effectively not increasing the quality or killing potential of the units but rather the pure numbers involved in engagements.
The other theory is simply gradual shift. Perhaps limited and particular use of gunpowder allowed a significant advantage if implemented into medieval armies (basically assuming it gives the advantage provided you still have plenty of spears to hold the line and heavy cav), thus making commanders slowly favor more and more gun focused armies eventually converting the entire concept of warfare.
What do you guys think?
Do you think a colonial army against a medieval army of equal size would be superior?
Is numbers what maters most?
And does plate armor not provide at least some decent defense against round rattling musket balls that don't nearly reach the velocity of modern bluets, or are they as lethal against heavy plate as against colonial wool?




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