
Originally Posted by
chriscase
Is this the definition you are proposing? Is "descent with modification" part of it or a presupposition? It looks like a presupposition to me.
Well, it's a necessary one. Descent with modifications that affect probability of descent is necessary and sufficient for natural selection.

Originally Posted by
chriscase
So your argument is:
1) Natural selection produced all characteristics of life.
2) Complexity is a characteristic of life.
3) Therefore natural selection produced complexity.
A straightforward syllogism, yes.

Originally Posted by
chriscase
Maybe part of the problem here is that we do not agree on the meaning of "complexity". I have borrowed the term in its imprecise, general meaning - the diversity of life.
It works for that.

Originally Posted by
chriscase
Your argument may hold for a particular trait that might be both complex and successful, but that is incidental. Complexity does not guarantee success.
I never said that natural selection was a total cause. It's a partial one: it can produce complexity. And in Earth life it has*― viruses not excluded. Replication of DNA is complex by itself.

Originally Posted by
chriscase
Yet this argument you make does not address the general question of where the genetic diversity came from in the first place. To argue that genetic diversity was produced or caused by a process that requires genetic diversity in the first place is patently circular.
To say that natural selection produces something does not imply that its prerequisites did not need to be present. Quite to the contrary. In the case of living organisms, the "modification" part of descent with modification is due mainly to mutations in DNA. Those, therefore, also had a role in the development of complexity. So did everything else necessary for life to exist. But none of the other things is sufficient to produce complexity, without natural selection. Genetic mutations that don't give rise to selection pressures will cause genetic drift, not complexity, or change of any kind.
It's not like the idea of natural selection producing complexity is novel or unique to me or anything. Just look at the book The Evolution of Complexity by Means of Natural Selection, say. Or this quote from Richard Dawkins, which cites natural selection as an explanation for complexity:
Darwin raises our consciousness to the sinewy power of science to explain the large and complex in terms of the small and simple. In biology we were fooled for centuries into thinking that extravagant complexity in nature needs an extravagantly complex explanation. Darwin triumphantly dispelled that delusion.
Etc. The idea of causation is notoriously fuzzy, anyway. I've never seen any scientific definition of it, or even a reasonably precise one (although I hope the latter at least exists).