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    Re: The Disobedient Roman Soldier

    It's more complicated than that. Grossman is a terrible reference. While he has made a lucrative career for himself largely pedaling a message people would like to be true, his research is based on...
  2. Re: I had faith in humanity, until I saw this! (morons of Coronavirus)

    Yeah, and this guy...

    https://i.postimg.cc/5yG4KVp6/Ethan-Klein.jpg
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    For the most part various official sources were just lying before, rather than admitting that they were unprepared.
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    There hasn't been much of a reaction. The Haredim will support the coalition as long as their parties are in it, and while surrounding Bnei Brak with a paratrooper division may seem harsh, there are...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    Hey, the assman's in town.

    Yes, and it had seemed to be mostly contained... I don't think Litzman actually broke the rules, but you'd think a guy who walks around dressed like a monochrome...
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    Re: COVID-19: A bloody battle or a long war?

    They had experience with SARS, and they didn't like it.

    For the the same reason, they undoubtedly know that the case fatality rate doesn't describe the whole picture regarding human cost. It is...
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    Re: Lebanon: Fakhoury Affair

    It's a Tiran 5 abandoned by the South Lebanon Army, which is an Israeli modified T-55.

    EDIT: Actually it's a Tiran 4 because it still has the original Soviet made gun rather than an American or...
  8. Poll: Re: Israel elections April 2019. New elections announced for September. Another new election announced for March.

    He said:

    And:

    The two Arabic language newspapers were Al-Watan (Kuwait) and Asharq Al-Awsat. His first language was Arabic of course.

    Note from the first linked article:
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    Considering more than 12% of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Italy have already died, finding out that about 1/8th of them had no comorbidities doesn't really make the situation look better, since we...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    When it became obvious in Israel that the US should be the next country on the list, Netanyahu made a phone call to Pence, after which he announced it would be necessary to close the country's...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    Bigger picture than the current issue being debated, I think the WHO was irresponsible for waiting so long. Very few political leaders around the world wanted to risk being wrong and getting blamed...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    It met the WHO's published definition of a Phase 6 Pandemic by February 26th.
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    Re: COVID-19: A bloody battle or a long war?

    Mishkin would know better than I would regarding the general mood of the population, but the outcome was already entirely predictable by that time. By March 13th, they had declared a national...
  14. Re: Spanish Flu, 1918, which killed 50 million people around the globe

    You are somewhat mistaken, but this is the appropriate thread for that discussion.
  15. Poll: Re: Israel elections April 2019. New elections announced for September. Another new election announced for March.

    Neither fit the definition he gave.
  16. Poll: Re: Israel elections April 2019. New elections announced for September. Another new election announced for March.

    I thought that was funny too.
  17. Poll: Re: Israel elections April 2019. New elections announced for September. Another new election announced for March.

    He didn't think so.

    Adding to what nhytgbvfeco2 already mentioned:

    https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/report-gantz-was-swayed-by-bad-polls-a-call-from-aryeh-deri/
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    Re: COVID-19: A bloody battle or a long war?

    Spain was not at all unusual in that regard, but it was shortsighted. Based on the characteristics of the virus known from elsewhere, the current situation was entirely predictable.
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    Re: COVID-19: A bloody battle or a long war?

    If so, you'all evidently weren't paying much attention. From March 1st to March 8th, the number of confirmed cases in Spain grew from 82 to 625. There had already been 17 deaths.

    As long as nobody...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    Yeah, I doubt it. Notice the contradiction within the article:

    And I noticed there are no references to these "scientific studies". I've seen some mentions of about 50% being asymptomatic in low...
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    Re: COVID-19: A bloody battle or a long war?

    This is the best article I've read on the topic.

    In Italy, more than 9% of those confirmed infected with COVID-19 have already died. So the case fatality rate there is considerably greater than 9%...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    For context:





    You can't legally acquire either drug without a prescription from a medical practitioner. Hydroxychloroquine is already being prescribed for COVID-19 based on preliminary...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    An actual prescription is needed to buy hydroxychloroquine.
  24. Re: How old and authentic is folk music around the world?

    Lack of sharing isn't the reason there aren't so many blacks in jazz clubs. Most of the big time jazz innovators are dead, their music wasn't stolen. Early jazz was created by modifying European...
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    Re: COVID-19: A bloody battle or a long war?

    Suppression is currently working in South Korea, but they have a few advantages. Their population is largely cooperative and they can control their borders since they have only one land border and it...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    I wasn't serious in referring to all Francophones collectively.

    Israel sent medical supplies to China in February and they are now sending six million doses of hydroxychloroquine to the US. I just...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    Exponential growth + increased testing. When you look at in on a logarithmic graph, the lock-down does appear to be working. It's much worse than it was, just not as much worse as it would have been...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    I too normally make it a policy not to trust any ethnolinguistic group who can't be bothered to pronounce the consonants at the ends of their words, but they seem to be redeeming themselves with...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    I think the South Korean response is ideally the one to emulate if the main concern is reducing fatalities, but the problem is a lot of its success comes from the attitude of the population, which...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    Their models use an R0 of either 2 or 3, which is about what everybody agrees on, but their estimates are based on a case fatality rate of 0.25 to 1%. They don't have access to any data that everyone...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    It could happen. I think the talk of sooner than that is much less realistic. We still don't have a SARS vaccine, or a vaccine for any other coronavirus for that matter. I think a treatment is more...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    I think you meant 0.9%, but it's too low because people don't die immediately upon diagnosis.

    Quoting myself from earlier:

    I agree South Korea is the place to look for good data on how it's...
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    Re: Do knowledgeable ex-atheists exist?

    According to the links there, that idea originated with an early Twentieth Century biblical scholar, but it's an interpretation not apparent in the actual text and not present in the Mishnah.
    ...
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    Re: Do knowledgeable ex-atheists exist?

    Correct

    Unless I'm forgetting something, the only biblical passage that is relevant (though far from comprehensive) is Exodus 21:22-25. The correct translation there is "cause the woman to give...
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    Re: How true is the Bible?

    Other than the biblical account, there isn't any reason to associate Canaanite presence in Egypt with Israelites in particular. See my first few posts in this thread for example: Hyksos Origins &...
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    I imagine there would be some concern if 50 to 70% of the population were projected to be in an automobile accident over the course of the next few months.
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    Re: How true is the Bible?

    Well, the problem with the evidence is that there isn't any. The Thirteenth Century is the date usually proposed, but Egypt ruled all of Canaan at that time. The political geography of the story is...
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    Re: Do knowledgeable ex-atheists exist?

    Yeah, that NIV translation doesn't work. Although the others are full of varying degrees of euphemism. To put it politely, it says her reproductive parts will rot.
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    Re: Coronavirus outbreak - From China to the World.

    All types of gun fatalities combined is 12 in 100,000, which is 0.012%. The majority are suicides.

    If 70% of the population gets COVID-19, with a CFR of 1%, fatalities will be 700 in 100,000. With...
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    Re: Theistic evolution makes no sense

    The issue is not particularly relevant to Judaism. For the most part, Jewish religion isn’t concerned with what people believe, but rather with what they do. There is no Jewish movement that...
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