Hi,
The following message will probably turn out to be long, as I do not have the gift of expressing my thoughts concisely. But I hope I have a point, so I thank you for your patience in reading this.
This may surprise you, but I trust 100% of everything you have written.
I learned of the Kypchak plan partially thanks to Ruunu (KOJ), and partially thanks to Kaizer not being very subtle and inventive about it. It is the same plan Kaizer uses every hotseat - pretends to be an ally, then backstabs you when he is sure he has enough support from other players. He is really not that creative or cunning as he may think of himself.
Now, I guess the plan was for him to enter a fake war with you and the KOJ in which he simply adjusts the border, so that I do not suspect anything. Then he hoped to attack me together with Ruunu, while I am fighting Emp. After that, Emp was supposed to attack me from the other side, when my troops and agents are transferred West (Kazier himself volunteered that info). However, I know another thing about Kaizer - he never attacks unless he thinks Triforce will help him. So I guess I have to expect a Rajput naval invasion soon too, as far fetched as it may be.
This is normal and predictable - I am in the middle, powerful and dangerous and obviously I would be on everyone's target list. This is what I signed up for when I agreed to switch Oman for the Seljuks.
However, I thought there was one flaw with this plan: you, as the Roman Emperor, gain nothing from helping Kaizer and I assumed you participate in it out of pure duress. You have no border with me, and despite my past support for the Turks, if I get defeated, you would gain neither land, nor money, nor anything else. Instead, you get two powerful neighbors in the Kypchaks and KOJ, both of whom may look to conquer you. I can see you harbour no illusions about Kaizer and his plans.
The other problem was Ruunu urging me to attack Kaizer. Obviously, this does not help the coalition against me. It may help Ruunu, for he may earn more time, but still, it gives me an advantage at least against the Kypchaks. I simply assume that Ruunu has decided to pursue own goals in this case, and the situation is such that I have to trust him and be his ally, although a glance at the KOJ/Kypchak border shows almost no armies and little damage done (no forts either
).
Was it Lord Disraeli that said that "there are nor eternal allies, just eternal interests"? Well, I think we find ourselves in a situation where we need to be allies, me and you especially, regardless of former plans and commitments. I was going to write this to you, but I can see from your message that you have come to the same conclusion, more or less.
I decided to move, because I put two and two together about Kaizer's intentions. It was obvious really - he had backstabbed me before, so I knew his playing style. He had put three stacks on my borders, did not seem particularly rattled about the fact that he is in war with both you and the KOJ, and finally he sent a diplomat asking for a maps exchange. It does not take a genious to figure it out, and then Ruunu just confirmed my suspicions.
So this is the situation - I started a war to preempt a strike against me, and Kaizer will be looking to concentrate on me, while desperately asking everyone else for help, and in the meantime doiing his usual pretending to be the victim and my best friend, really, this time for real. His troops are mostly on my border or traveling this way, and so are his agents. I have reasons to believe his resources are not enough for him to defend everything, so you will have a chance to actually turn the tables on him and extricate yourself of his bullying.
If you manage to surprise him by destroying his Black Sea fleet and then manage to get to his production centers such as Azaq, Caffa, Tmurtarkan, etc., he will have no way of retaliating against you, meaning that you can take Sinop and Trebizond and get rid of what is currently the greatest danger for you.
I will not rely on you or expect any great help, because these things are out of my control. But as I said, we are in a situation where it is in our best interest to try to defeat a common foe or at least reduce his ability to cause problems. And even though you probably are not quite sure how much you can trust me, I think it is obvious I am a smaller danger to you than the Kypchaks - my victory conditions say nothing about Constantinople, I am away, and I have issues to the East.
So hopefully, we will do what is in both our best interest and be allies out of necessity. I am still not 100% sure I can trust Ruunu (and you can even share that with him), as I cannot see what he gains from fighting the Kypchaks, other than removing a potential future threat. Ruunu himself probably feels threatened by me too as we are about to touch our borders in Syria soon. But he has not backstabbed me so far, and he himself knows I am pretty reliable as long as I am being treated fairly, so I guess for now we can be allies.
Anyway, all this is just words and promises. Deeds speak much louder. You now know what I did during my last turn - I attacked, took two settlements and destroyed a large Kypchak stack. Now it will be your turn and then Ruunu's turn. I know you will do what is in your best interest, and I like this thought, because our interests are the same when it comes to the Kypchaks.
Thanks for writing to me. Let's keep in touch.
Best regards,
The Seljuk Sultan