Following the success of this topic, I've decided to post the same here... How do you think that Iraq will be like in 2010?
Here's mine:
This is all guessing... I'll probably get 3/4 of what I wrote wrong in the future... but I wrote this so that in 2010, I can read what I wrote in 2005 about what I thought would happen in 2010. It will be quite funny when I get a hold of what I wrote today in five years... it's like looking at your 5th grade drawings or reading stories that you wrote in the 7th grade.Iraq, 2010-
After the assassination of Iraq's prime minister and the growing chaos in the Sunni Triangle and in Northern Iraq, 2007 brought an end to the coalition's relative control over Iraq.
In 2007, President Bush's popularity plummeted to 36% after the Prime Minister of Iraq was assassinated by Sunni rebels loyal to Al-Zarqawi, and it again plummeted down to 24% after coalition deaths in Iraq reached the 3,000 mark. The coalition tried to quell the anarchistic state that took hold of Mosul and Tikrit in the next five months, but more than 600 coalition troops and 700 Iraqi troops died trying, for the insurgents played guerilla tactics that the coalition could not counter with tanks and jets.
But a year later, the 2008 presidential election of the U.S. was held. President John McCain was elected, and he promised to make great changes in foreign policy and in Iraq. He did not, however, say whether he would remove the coalition troops out of Iraq, though many thought that he planned to do this anyways once he won the election. Mr. McCain managed to get the moderate Republican vote, and some of the moderate Democrat vote as well, but he was not able to get the extreme-right vote, which went to the new third party called "God's America", and neither did he achieve the extreme-left vote, which wanted the removal of troops in Iraq immediately. The election was very close, with President McCain getting 44% of the popular vote and 274 electoral votes, while Hillary Clinton for the Democratic party achieved a 43%, and the other 13% went to God's America Party, which was lead by the Christian fundamentalist Richard F. Fordshire. Some thought that the Democratic Party, lead by Hillary Clinton, would win the election after the division of the moderate Republican party and the extreme-right Republican party which ended up creating the new third party' God's America. But President McCain, with his great appeal to moderates, managed to prove most analysts wrong, and won a very tight election with 44% of the vote.
Mr. McCain was sworn in on January 20th, 2009. The beggining of the first term for McCain proved to be very difficult, and as the new administration saw no end in sight for its quagmire in Iraq, and more opposition to the war erupted in both Congress and in the United States, President McCain called for a special session of Congress to handle the matter of Iraq. A senate vote was then held on the issue, and an unprecedented thing occured... the Republican moderates and the Democrats formed a temporary alliance against God's America Party and voted to remove the troops out of Iraq by May of 2009. 2/3 of the Senate voted for the removal of the troops, and McCain did not veto the vote, for his cabinet pressured him to accept the results and instead focus on domestic issues in the U.S.
By May of 2009, the coalition troops started to retire from Iraq. The rest of the remaining coalition followed. By August, the last 1,000 troops departed from the Basrah port. By now, the coalition had suffered over 4,000 deaths, and half of the country was in chaos. Although civil war was already starting by early 2008 between the Shiites and the Sunnis after the natural death of the Ayatollah Al-Sistani, the war escalated into holocaust in August of 2009. In September of 2009, Southern Shiite Iraq seceded from Baghdad's control, and the capital was set up in Basrah. The new government in Southern Iraq was named the Islamic Republic of Basrah, and the government formed close ties with neighboring Iran. The Sunnis were still fighting with the Shiites in Baghdad, but a continuing absence of control from the remaining Iraqi governing council made Baghdad turn into a state of anarchy. Hundreds of thousands died and mass lootings took place all over Northern and Central Iraq.
Following the Sunni-Shiite civil war of 2009, the Kurds seceded from the Iraqi state in Janurary of 2010 and created their own country in Northern Iraq, the New Kurdistan. The Kurds instated a short-term dictator in power to stabilize the country after months of civil war. The president of the New Kurdistan pledged to bring order back to his homeland, and he underwent a campaign in Mosul to finish uprooting the Sunni rebels that were left in some areas of the city. The Turkish government did not recognize the New Kurdistan, and was menacing Kurdistan with invasion, but Turkey showed restraint after the EU politically intervened in the matter.
The future of Iraq is uncertain... Two new states have been created, and the center is still in war with each other. The oil-rich Islamic Republic of Basrah has finally managed to stabilize itself and is beggining reconstruction. Iran is helping with Basrah's reconstruction and has gained access to some precious oil fields that the Basran government gave in exchange for reconstruction and military help. Radical Islamists from around the globe have migrated to Baghdad, Ar Ramadi, Fallujah, Tikrit, and Baqubah, and analysts believe that civil war between warlords in central Iraq will continue for a few more years. Al-Qaeda has declared victory over the United States, and the radical Islamist movement in the Middle East has heavily increased, causing the downfall of the Saudi Arabian monarchic state, and causing civil war in Jordania and parts of Syria.
So... now it's your turn... write away.